MLB Daily Line Drive: August 13 free picks, betting odds and analysis

Aug 13, 2019 |

After a skinny slate of MLB bets Monday, Tuesday blesses the bases with a full schedule of baseball betting action. We didn't get to see our play on the Astros pan out due to rain last night, so we're going back to Houston-Chicago for one of our top MLB picks as well as looking to the "Battle of the Bay" for second play of the day. Find all our best in-depth analysis, betting trends and fearless predictions in our MLB Daily Line Drive.

DOUBLE-PLAY PICKS

HOUSTON ASTROS AT CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+280, 9 @ BETAMERICA)

Thanks to yesterday’s game getting rained out, Zack Greinke gets a second, second chance to make a first impression when he toes the rubber for the Houston Astros in what is now the opener of a double header Tuesday afternoon. The former Arizona ace, who joined Houston at the trade deadline, was less-than sharp in his Astros debut, allowing five runs on seven hits through six innings in an 11-6 win over Colorado last Tuesday.

Greinke takes on Chicago, which poses far less a threat at the plate than the Rockies, with the White Sox hitting .235 and scoring only 3.59 runs per nine innings over their last 10 games. Chicago was shutout twice during its three-game home set with Oakland this past weekend, totaling only three runs in a 3-2 win Saturday.

The White Sox counter with rookie Dylan Cease. The right-hander has pitched to a 6.00 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in six starts this season and that’s while only facing one truly good offense (the Twins).

Meanwhile, Greinke has pitched best in opposing parks, with a 6-3 record and 2.85 ERA as a visitor in 2019. We expect the right hander to make up for his so-so Houston debut and keep the bumbling ChiSox in check today, leading the Astros to sizeable lead heading into the late innings.

Pick: Astros Seven Inning RL -2.5 (+100)

 

OAKLAND ATHLETICS AT SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (-110, 8 @ BETAMERICA)

Thanks in part to a red-hot month of July, the Giants made the decision at the trade deadline not to trade Madison Bumgarner and predictably, the Giants have cooled off. That said, the Giants are still just 3.5 games out of the second wild card spot and hand the ball to Bumgarner tonight when they face the A’s.

Oakland is also in the midst of a postseason race, sitting two games behind the Rays for the final AL playoff spot. Veteran southpaw Brett Anderson toes the rubber for the A’s, and while he has quality starts in six of his last seven games, he’s in a bit of a slump pitching to a 5.09 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over his last three.

Bumgarner meanwhile, has been a bit up and down lately, but has been pretty tough at home. The lefty owns a 3.08 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP at Oracle Park this season and is coming off seven innings of one-hit ball against the Phillies his last time out.

Take the Giants bullpen out of this and take the home team to have the lead after five innings.

Pick: Giants Five Inning RL -0.5 (+125)

Yesterday's picks: 1-0
Season to date: 129-125-5

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STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTER

STREAKING

Jack Flaherty, St. Louis Cardinals (5-6, 3.72 ERA, $-837): The Cardinals young right-hander is dealing. He owns a miniscule 0.94 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP, while limiting opponents to a .144 batting average in his last six starts.

Flaherty has also pitched 16 consecutive scoreless innings against the likes of the Astros, Cubs and Dodgers. Tonight, he is a hefty -225 road favorite as the Cardinals visit the Royals.

SLUMPING

Martin Perez, Minnesota Twins (8-5, 4.80 ERA, $-140): The Twins didn’t do anything at the trade deadline to bolster their pitching rotation and the cracks are starting to show, considering they have dropped out of first place in the AL Central for the first time since April 20. And Perez has been part of the problem.

Over is last four starts he has been roughed up to the tune of an 8.14 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP while surrendering a 1.120 OPS over that span. Perez and the Twins are +130 road dogs for tonight’s interleague matchup with the Brewers.

WEATHER WATCH

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3 STRIKES

BIG APPLE BASHERS

We can’t ignore what the Yankees did to the poor Orioles in yesterday’s double-header, plating 19 runs over the two game with seven home runs off the bats of the Bronx Bombers – giving them 59 home runs in 17 matchups with the O’s this season. Three of those dingers came from shortstop Gleyber Torres, who now has 13 home runs versus Baltimore on the year. He was a +340 option to go Over 0.5 home runs in Game 1 Monday and is sitting at +325 to hit another homer tonight.

RANGER DANGER

The Texas Rangers took a beating from the Toronto Blue Jays Monday, losing 19-4 in Game 1 of their three-game set north of the border. The one-sided loss marked the 16th time the Rangers have fallen in their past 22 road games, dropping to 24-37 as visitors – a near mirror image of their 35-22 home mark in Arlington. Texas is down almost seven units of profit away from home (compare to more than 18 units up in the Lone Star State). Books have the Rangers as -147 favorites with Lance Lynn on the mound Tuesday.

BOY, OH, BOYD

Well, we sang the praises of the Tigers’ Matthew Boyd before his last start and he proceeded to have one of his worst games of the season, allowing five runs on six hits in just 2.2 innings and only striking out one batter. That said, we can’t abandon our boy after one bad start, particularly considering his competition for tonight.

Boyd still ranks fourth in the MLB in Ks/9 at 12.03, trailing just Chris Sale, Gerrit Cole and Max Scherzer. That’s some pretty good company. Tonight, Boyd faces a Mariners team that ranks .227 against lefties on the road this season and strikes out more than any team in baseball. With an inconsistent Yusei Kikuchi going for the M’s, take the Tigers on the Five Inning RL -0.5 (-120) and the Over on Boyd’s strikeout total of 8.5 (+105).

TUESDAY'S TOP CONSENUS

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