Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Predictions and Picks for Saturday's EPL Matchup

While Nottingham Forest and Chelsea have very important things to play for in Saturday's EPL fixture, our soccer expert Sam Farley believes Chelsea's current form will be enough to get them over the line and collect a vital three points.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
May 9, 2024 • 16:57 ET • 4 min read
Cole Palmer Chelsea EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Despite sitting at opposite ends of the table, Nottingham Forest and Chelsa square off in the Saturday finale with plenty to play for. 

Can Chelsea continue their winning ways and chase down a spot in Europe? Or will Nottingham Forest find a way to inch closer to safety? 

Find out below in my EPL predictions for Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea on Saturday, May 11. 

EPL predictions for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea

My best bet:
Chelsea moneyline (-103 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea square off in the final Premier League game of Saturday’s packed slate and both teams desperately need a win.

Forest sit three points clear of Luton and the final relegation spot, with just two games remaining. Luton play earlier in the day, and a loss to West Ham would mean Nottingham Forest would need a single point to secure safety. If Luton were to beat West Ham then Forest could effectively secure safety by beating Chelsea due to their goal difference.

However, the bad news for Forest is that Chelsea are in great form and still have a chance to secure European competition next season. For this reason, we are backing Chelsea to win. 

Over the past five games we’ve seen Forest win just once. The victory last weekend, vs. Sheffield United might give a false sense of optimism. They can’t play like that against Chelsea, who over the past month have played as well as any other time since Mauricio Pochettino took over.

A look at recent results shows you that Chelsea have won three of their past five but the most impressive stat is that they’ve lost just once in their past 12 Premier League matches. That was a heavy defeat to Arsenal but being able to avoid defeat against half of the teams in the division is hugely impressive. It’s also impressive just how good they’ve started to look in attack. If you look at Chelsea’s past 10 Premier League games they’ve been free-scoring, bagging at least two goals in all but one game. That should concern a Forest team who have allowed more goals than all but three other teams in the league, especially when their last clean sheet was 13 games ago.

Chelsea are ending the season on a high, in their past five Premier League games they’ve scored five or more goals on two occasions, beaten local rivals Spurs and West Ham, and drew against a great Aston Villa team. Against a struggling Forest team, they are likely to continue their winning ways.

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea same-game parlay (SGP)

Chelsea moneyline

Cole Palmer any time goal

Ryan Yates Over 0.5 fouls

In addition to our best bet, we’re also going to back Chelsea’s star man Cole Palmer to score. The 22-year-old has had an incredible season and through 30 Premier League games, he’s managed to score 21 times. He comes into this having scored against West Ham last weekend.

We’re also backing Nottingham Forest’s Ryan Yates to commit Over 0.5 fouls. He’s averaged 1.5 per game this season and now faces a tough task, anchoring the midfield against Chelsea’s talented attack, including the aforementioned Cole Palmer.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea odds

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea live odds

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea opening odds

  • Moneyline: Nottingham Forest +220 | Chelsea +110
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea side and Over/Under analysis

  • Nottingham Forest are +250 underdogs despite being at home. Chelsea are -103 and the draw is +300.
  • Forest have lost three of their last five, while Chelsea have won three of theirs.
  • Four of the past six Forest games at the City Ground have gone Under 2.5 goals.
  • Eight of Chelsea’s past nine away league games have had Over 2.5 goals.

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea game info

Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England
Date: Saturday, 5-11-2024
Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: Peacock Premium, fubo TV, Sling Blue, Hulu + Live TV
Weather: Cool but wet conditions.
Nottingham Forest Recent EPL form W-L-L-D-L
Chelsea Recent EPL form W-W-D-L-W

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea key injuries

Nottingham Forest: Neco Williams FB (Out).
Chelsea: Welsey Fofana CB (Out), Reece James RB (Out), Romeo Lavia CM (Out), Levi Colwill CB (Out), Enzo Fernandez CM (Out), Robert Sanchez GK (Out), Ben Chilwell LB (Out).

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