Our Best PGA Championship Prop Bets


Jason Logan
Clock Icon May 18, 2021 - 1:31 PM ET

The 2021 PGA Championship draws the eyes and action of golf betting to Kiawah Island for the second major tournament of the PGA Tour season, starting on May 20. A tournament this big sees sportsbooks roll out a long list of alternative wagers, including plenty of prop bets for the tournament.

If you’re teeing off on some of the 2021 PGA Championship props, here’s a look at the betting basics and the most popular prop odds available.

PGA Championship prop bets explained

Prop bets are alternative wagers, beyond the more common head-to-head matchups or standard PGA Championship odds. These props can focus on overall tournament results and happenings as well as player-specific prop bets. 

Will there be a hole-in-one?

Result Odds
Yes -138
No +100

Will there be a playoff?

Result Odds
Yes +333
No -500

Will a player lead the entire tournament and win?

Result Odds
Yes +1100
No -3335

Players under par

Number of players Odds
46 and over +500
34 to 45 +187
33 and under -163
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Pick: 34 to 45 players under par (+187)

By Jason Logan

The last time the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island hosted the PGA Championship back in 2012, only 20 players finished the tournament under par. The course has a rating of 79.1, stretches almost 7,900 yards and conditions to the coastal environment can change in a matter of minutes.

When the wind is howling, this course is among the toughest on Tour, and the early forecast (according to PGATour.com) is calling for strong winds through the first two days of the tournament (27 mph) but settling down on the weekend, which could help produce some sub-par performances come Sunday. 

The projected cut prop is set at 146.5 Over/Under, which would be a score of +4.5. That’s projecting a better overall effort from the field than the cut line of 150 (+6) in 2012. Also, average driving distance is higher than it was back in 2012 (289.1 yards vs. 295.3 yards) which will help on this lengthy track, most notably in the final two rounds when winds die and the hot weather has the course playing firmer and faster.

Pick made on May 18, 2021

Nationality props

Nationality of winner

Nationality Odds
USA -143
European +225
Rest of world +400
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Pick: European +225

By Jason Logan

The last time the PGA Championship was played at Kiawah Island’s Ocean Course, the final leaderboard was littered with European players. Rory McIlroy won the event and was one of seven Euros to place among the 10 best finishes.

The coastal layout and challenging winds found in Charleston are similar to the more challenging tracks on the European Tour, with those native players growing up having to navigate less-than-ideal conditions.

McIlroy is the betting favorite heading into Round 1 and is joined by fellow European standouts Jon Rahm and Viktor Hovland among the Top 8 overall faves in the 2021 PGA Championship odds.

Pick made on May 18, 2021

Top American

Golfer Odds
Jordan Spieth +800
Justin Thomas +800
Bryson DeChambeau +850
Dustin Johnson +1000
Xander Schauffele +1000
Collin Morikawa +1400
Daniel Berger +1800
Tony Finau +2000
Patrick Reed +2000
Brooks Koepka +2500

Top Asian

Golfer Odds
Hideki Matsuyama +187
Sungjae Im +333
Si Woo Kim +425
Kyoung Hoon Lee +650
Takumi Kanaya +1000

Top Australian

Golfer Odds
Cameron Smith +225
Marc Leishman +350
Adam Scott +450
Jason Day +550
Matt Jones +750
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Pick: Marc Leishman (+350)

By Jason Logan

Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman are the favorites for Top Aussie, with the pair coming off a win at the Zurich Classic last month. Smith has been fantastic in 2021 with six Top 10s in 15 events, including a 10th-place showing at the Masters.

Leishman hasn’t been as consistent but did place fifth at Augusta and boasts six Top-10 finishes in major tournaments for his career, finding another gear on golf’s biggest stages. He finished 27th on this course at the 2012 PGA Championship and we’ll lean into that experience with the bigger price on him to finish as the top Australian.

Pick made on May 18, 2021

Top Canadian

Golfer Odds
Corey Conners -138
Adam Hadwin +225
Mackenzie Hughes +350

Top Continental European

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +175
Viktor Hovland +240
Sergio Garcia +750
Alex Noren +1600
Thomas Pieters +1800

Top Englishman

Golfer Odds
Tyrell Hatton +450
Matt Fitzpatrick +550
Tommy Fleetwood +550
Paul Casey +600
Justin Rose +650

Tips for betting PGA Championship props

Whether you’re betting on player odds or tournament markets, here are some tips for betting on PGA Championship props.

Golf Ball Or Club Current form

Current form is what the bookies look at first when building the PGA Championship prop bets, so it should be where you start when it comes to betting those props. Take a close look at a player’s recent tournament results, as well as what aspects of their game they’re excelling or struggling at and how those match up to the course at Kiawah Island.

Golf CourseCourse history

Some golfers in the PGA Championship field post consistent success on certain courses or layouts, so be mindful of how they’ve performed at Kiawah Island as well as how they’ve played in past PGA Championships and major tournaments. The prestige and pressure of a major can bring out the best in some golfers and the worst in others.

Covers Global Two Color Cloudy   CopyWatch the weather

Weather plays a massive role in the outcome of any golf tournament, especially when it comes to golf betting props. Comb the most current forecasts for Charleston, South Carolina, and not only for each day of the PGA Championship but also the days leading into Round 1. Rain can impact how soft and slow the course plays and wind – especially on those coastal holes – can wreak havoc with accuracy and distance off the tee.

Create NarrativeSet a narrative

With so many ways to wager on the PGA Championship odds, you want to make sure your story is straight when it comes to your prop bets and that you’re not contradicting or betting against yourself. Set a narrative for how you see the tournament playing out, which golfers will excel or struggle, and what has to happen for that to take place.

Instant Replay: PGA Championship prop bets

  • PGA Championship props can range from tournament, round-by-round, and player-specific betting odds.
  • Some of the more common PGA Championship prop bets are “Will there be a hole-in-one?” and Over/Under on the winning score of the tournament.
  • Group props, like “Top American” or “Top European”, are very popular among PGA Championship prop bettors.
  • When betting PGA Championship props, look closely at a golfer’s current form, history at the course and event, as well as the weather heading into and during the tournament.

PGA Championship prop bets FAQS

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