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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 11, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

19.49 @ 25.71

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Ravens vs Falcons · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

19.49

+3.5 -115

o43.5 -110

+150

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

25.71

-3.5 +102

u43.5 -106

-170

Buffalo @ L.A. Rams
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

25.05 @ 30.75

LA
LA logo
LA

Bills vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

25.05

+3.5 -115

o54.0 -112

+150

LA logo
LA
LA

30.75

-3.5 +100

u54.5 -105

-170

Top Projection Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown (Yes: +2000)
+2000
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL @ Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail ATL Sun, Oct 11 • 8:20 PM ET
Passing Completions
Michael Penix Jr. logo Michael Penix Jr. o18.5 Passing Completions (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Penix's completions Over is playable up to 20+. Baltimore has allowed every opposing quarterback to complete at least 19 passes, and if the Ravens force Atlanta away from the run, Penix should finally see enough volume to get there.

Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson logo Bijan Robinson u24.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Bijan's receiving Under 24.5 has value up to 53%. Baltimore has allowed the fewest RB receiving yards, and Kyle Hamilton gives the Ravens a rare defender capable of matching Robinson's versatility without creating an obvious mismatch.

View 22 Picks
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF @ Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA Mon, Oct 12 • 8:15 PM ET
Receptions Made
Tyler Higbee logo Tyler Higbee o2.5 Receptions Made (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Rams tight end Tyler Higbee did an excellent job stepping up with fellow TEs Terrence Ferguson and Colby Parkinson dealing with injuries. Even with Parkinson healthy for Week 5, I don’t see Sean McVay forgetting about Higbee. He drew a total of 17 targets for 13 catches and a collective 129 yards the past two games. His reception projections are all hovering around or above three grabs on Monday night, with a ceiling of 3.5 catches. My number sit right on three receptions for Higbee. Buffalo sits middle of the road in defending tight ends, ranked No. 15 in DVOA vs. TEs but allowing 5.4 passes to the position (13th most). The Bills got burned by New England TE Hunter Henry in Week 4, allowing five catches for 62 yards.

Receiving Yards
Khalil Shakir logo Khalil Shakir o44.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Slot receiver Khalil Shakir steps up the food chain, especially versus a L.A. Rams defense that has been soft against slot WRs. Los Angeles has allowed the third most yards to the position heading into Week 5. Shakir has been Buffalo’s best weapon versus zone defense the past three seasons and will see plenty of zone coverage from L.A., which runs zone at the eighth highest rate. The bulk of his Week 5 projections sit north of 40 yards with my number coming out to 51.5 receiving yards on Monday night.

View 21 Picks

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.