Vikings @ Steelers Picks & Props

The Dolphins come into this game with a strong offensive showing, currently ranking 2nd in the league in points scored per game. Miami’s dynamic playmakers have consistently found ways to exploit opposing defenses, making them a team to watch for bettors looking at point totals and spreads. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been particularly effective, showcasing both his arm strength and accuracy, which has led to a potent aerial attack.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, sitting at 27th in points allowed per game. Their defense has struggled to contain high-powered offenses, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. New York's ability to pressure the quarterback could be crucial, as getting to Tagovailoa early may disrupt Miami’s rhythm. However, if the Jets fail to generate that pressure, it could be a long night for their defense.. From a betting perspective, the total for this matchup will likely be influenced heavily by the Dolphins' high-scoring ability versus the Jets' defensive vulnerabilities. Bettors will want to consider Miami's offensive efficiency and New York's struggles when making their wagers. Additionally, with Miami's favorable ranking in scoring, they may be positioned well against the spread.. As the game approaches, bettors should keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, as these factors can significantly impact the flow of the game and the ultimate outcome. With both teams having distinct strengths and weaknesses, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.

The Dolphins come into this game with a strong offensive showing, currently ranking 2nd in the league in points scored per game. Miami’s dynamic playmakers have consistently found ways to exploit opposing defenses, making them a team to watch for bettors looking at point totals and spreads. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been particularly effective, showcasing both his arm strength and accuracy, which has led to a potent aerial attack.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, sitting at 27th in points allowed per game. Their defense has struggled to contain high-powered offenses, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. New York's ability to pressure the quarterback could be crucial, as getting to Tagovailoa early may disrupt Miami’s rhythm. However, if the Jets fail to generate that pressure, it could be a long night for their defense.. From a betting perspective, the total for this matchup will likely be influenced heavily by the Dolphins' high-scoring ability versus the Jets' defensive vulnerabilities. Bettors will want to consider Miami's offensive efficiency and New York's struggles when making their wagers. Additionally, with Miami's favorable ranking in scoring, they may be positioned well against the spread.. As the game approaches, bettors should keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, as these factors can significantly impact the flow of the game and the ultimate outcome. With both teams having distinct strengths and weaknesses, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.

The Dolphins come into this game with a strong offensive showing, currently ranking 2nd in the league in points scored per game. Miami’s dynamic playmakers have consistently found ways to exploit opposing defenses, making them a team to watch for bettors looking at point totals and spreads. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been particularly effective, showcasing both his arm strength and accuracy, which has led to a potent aerial attack.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, sitting at 27th in points allowed per game. Their defense has struggled to contain high-powered offenses, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. New York's ability to pressure the quarterback could be crucial, as getting to Tagovailoa early may disrupt Miami’s rhythm. However, if the Jets fail to generate that pressure, it could be a long night for their defense.. From a betting perspective, the total for this matchup will likely be influenced heavily by the Dolphins' high-scoring ability versus the Jets' defensive vulnerabilities. Bettors will want to consider Miami's offensive efficiency and New York's struggles when making their wagers. Additionally, with Miami's favorable ranking in scoring, they may be positioned well against the spread.. As the game approaches, bettors should keep an eye on injury reports and weather conditions, as these factors can significantly impact the flow of the game and the ultimate outcome. With both teams having distinct strengths and weaknesses, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one for fans and bettors alike.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (61.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (72.1% Adjusted Completion%).. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. While Kenneth Gainwell has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 13.6%.. Since the start of last season, the formidable Minnesota Vikings run defense has allowed a measly 0.70 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 6th-best rate in football.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (69.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (85.7% in games he has played).. Jaylen Warren has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (61.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. With an elite 27.3% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson has been among the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in the league.. As it relates to air yards, Justin Jefferson ranks in the towering 97th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing a striking 99.0 per game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Pat Freiermuth has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.. In regards to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 27.0 per game.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (61.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.. While Jordan Mason has garnered 83.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Minnesota's rushing attack near the goal line in this game at 68.7%.. While Jordan Mason has received 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Minnesota's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 9.2%.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (61.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. In regards to air yards, T.J. Hockenson ranks in the lofty 96th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 49.0 per game.. T.J. Hockenson ranks in the 92nd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 41.2 mark since the start of last season.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. With a sizeable 19.4% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.. As it relates to air yards, Jonnu Smith grades out in the lofty 83rd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a colossal 28.0 per game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. DK Metcalf has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 78th percentile among WRs.. DK Metcalf has accumulated a staggering 90.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. The leading projections forecast Jonnu Smith to garner 5.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among TEs.. Jonnu Smith has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 19.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. Minnesota's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats too low) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to expect some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.. Justin Jefferson's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a significant drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 6.0 mark.. Justin Jefferson's 59.3% Adjusted Completion% this year shows an impressive regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 68.4% rate.

With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.28 seconds per snap, the model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.. DK Metcalf's 2.4 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.3 figure.. DK Metcalf's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 60.2% to 54.1%.. The Vikings safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Pat Freiermuth has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.28 seconds per snap, the model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.. With a weak 77.0% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.. The Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (79.7%).. The Vikings safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. In this week's game, Jordan Mason is expected by the model to rank in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.9 targets.. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (86.0%).. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.28 seconds per snap, the model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.. The Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (79.7%).. The Vikings safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, T.J. Hockenson is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.. T.J. Hockenson ranks in the 92nd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 41.2 mark since the start of last season.. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Right now, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (53.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Steelers.. With respect to a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.28 seconds per snap, the model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season (69.1% Adjusted Completion%).. The Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 7th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.30 per game since the start of last season.. The Vikings safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. Minnesota's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats too low) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to expect some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.. Our trusted projections expect Carson Wentz to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (72.1% Adjusted Completion%).. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.. Minnesota's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats too low) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to expect some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.. Our trusted projections expect Carson Wentz to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Pat Freiermuth has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.. In regards to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 27.0 per game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 92.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.. The projections expect DK Metcalf to garner 8.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.. In this week's game, Jordan Mason is expected by the model to rank in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.9 targets.. As it relates to air yards, Jordan Mason grades out in the towering 87th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (86.0%).

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.. Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to notch 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.