Chargers @ Broncos &nbsp; Picks &amp; Props

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o15.5 -130

o15.5 -122

o15.5 -122

The Broncos have allowed 15 or more completions in 12 of 16 games this season, and I'm anticipating Los Angeles to set Lance up for success with short and intermediate throws Sunday afternoon. And, with the Bolts a huge underdog, look for Lance to continue airing it out throughout. Plus, opponents have averaged the sixth-most pass attempts per game (36.6) against the Broncos, and all we're asking for here is four completions a quarter.

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Score a Touchdown

Jaleel McLaughlin Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

+450

+350

+500

+425

The Broncos RB2 will likely get touches in what appears to be a cake walk against a Bolts team resting the starters. With the spread trending toward two TDS, Denver will give some extra love to its reserves and McLaughlin is a shifty back who can hit big plays. He had a season-high seven carries vs Kansas City last week and builds on that in Week 18, including his second score of the season.

Score a Touchdown

Evan Engram Score a Touchdown (Yes: +400)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

+380

+400

+390

Evan Engram isn’t a throwaway piece in this offense, and while he hasn’t scored since Week 5, this is a strong spot to buy in at a big number given his usage. The Chargers are expected to rest starters, giving Denver a clean path to points. Engram draws targets on 22% of his routes, and while Adam Trautman is logging heavy snaps, it’s largely as a blocker with just one red-zone target all season. Engram saw two red-zone targets last week, caught both, but failed to score. Still a great role at this price.

Score a Touchdown

RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown (Yes: -145)

Projection 0.74 (Yes)

Best Odds

-145

Pick made: 2 days ago

EV Model Rating

-175

-145

-155

-154

At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (64.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.. The Denver O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

-145 at bet365

Passing Completions

Trey Lance o15.5 Passing Completions (-120)

Projection 18.54 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o15.5 -130

o15.5 -122

o15.5 -122

The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chargers to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.

-120 at BetMGM

Passing Attempts

Trey Lance o27.5 Passing Attempts (-114)

Projection 33.03 (Over)

Best Odds

o27.5 -114

Pick made: 14 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o28.5 -114

o29.5 -115

o27.5 -114

o29.5 +115

o29.5 +110

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Trey Lance o168.5 Passing Yards (-105)

Projection 186.34 (Over)

Best Odds

o167.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o167.5 -114

o167.5 -110

o167.5 -114

o173.5 -115

o168.5 -105

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey o54.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 61.51 (Over)

Best Odds

o54.5 -110

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o56.5 -110

o54.5 -110

o56.5 -114

o54.5 -118

o55.5 -117

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

-110 at bet365

Spread

63% picking L.A. Chargers

63% 63%

37% 37%

Total Picks LAC 304, DEN 178

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

LAC vs DEN Props

Player

Prop

Projection

Best Odds

Projection Rating

R. Harvey

running back RB • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.74

Best Odds

Yes

-145

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.74

Best Odds

Yes

-145

Yes

-145

-155

-154

-175

-145

Projection Rating

At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (64.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game. The Denver O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Q. Johnston

wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.57

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.57

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+400

K. Lambert-Smith

wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.11

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.11

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2000

M. Mims Jr.

wide receiver WR • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.21

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.21

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+400

+600

+700

L. Humphrey

wide receiver WR • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.11

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.11

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+500

+625

+600

+700

O. Gadsden

tight end TE • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.21

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+550

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.21

Best Odds

Yes

+550

Yes

+550

B. Nix

quarterback QB • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.31

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+310

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.31

Best Odds

Yes

+310

Yes

+300

+290

+295

+270

+310

H. Haskins

running back RB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+375

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+375

Yes

+375

A. Trautman

tight end TE • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.06

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+750

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.06

Best Odds

Yes

+750

Yes

+600

+650

+750

C. Sutton

wide receiver WR • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.44

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+185

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.44

Best Odds

Yes

+185

Yes

+150

+125

+164

+165

+185

N. Adkins

tight end TE • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.13

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.13

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+800

+1400

+1300

+1600

J. McLaughlin

running back RB • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.14

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.14

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+350

+425

+450

+500

M. Lewis

tight end TE • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+1600

+1500

+1600

T. Conklin

tight end TE • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+1800

O. Hampton

running back RB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.56

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+190

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.56

Best Odds

Yes

+190

Yes

+190

D. Davis

wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+1800

L. McConkey

wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.38

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.38

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+400

A. Prentice

fullback FB • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1200

draftkings

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+1200

Yes

+800

+950

+1200

+1100

J. Patterson

running back RB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.20

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

draftkings

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.20

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+500

+1600

W. Dissly

tight end TE • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+1800

T. Lance

quarterback QB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+425

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+425

Yes

+425

-295

+400

+410

E. Engram

tight end TE • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.07

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.07

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+400

+390

+380

+390

T. Badie

running back RB • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.00

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+1100

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.00

Best Odds

Yes

+1100

Yes

+800

+1000

+1100

K. Allen

wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.25

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.25

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+500

S. Matlock

fullback FB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.07

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.07

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+2000

P. Bryant

wide receiver WR • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.07

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

draftkings

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.07

Best Odds

Yes

Yes

+350

+325

+500

+320

K. Vidal

running back RB • L.A. Chargers

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.33

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+350

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.33

Best Odds

Yes

+350

Yes

+350

T. Franklin

wide receiver WR • Denver

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Projection

0.38

(Season avg.)

Best Odds

Yes

+390

Prop

Score a Touchdown

Season Avg.

0.38

Best Odds

Yes

+390

Yes

+230

+270

+330

+340

+390

LAC vs DEN Trends

Los Angeles Trends

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.28 Units / 13% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Half

The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - Spread - Full Game

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Half

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1H Team Total Over in 9 of their last 22 games (-5.50 Units / -21% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (-4.90 Units / -16% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 22 games (-4.85 Units / -19% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 away games (-4.20 Units / -40% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 18 games (-3.30 Units / -16% ROI)

Denver Trends

The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 26% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 45% ROI)

The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 33% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Half

The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)

The Denver Broncos have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 45% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Half

The Denver Broncos have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 21 games (-4.25 Units / -18% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

The Denver Broncos have only hit the 1H Team Total Over in 10 of their last 21 games (-4.25 Units / -16% ROI)

The Denver Broncos have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (-3.95 Units / -9% ROI)

LAC

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

The Denver Broncos have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 18 games (-3.85 Units / -17% ROI)

The Denver Broncos have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games at home (-3.80 Units / -38% ROI)

Spread

'manomanomano551' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Total

'manomanomano551' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'skunty4' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Total

'd33jay86' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Over (37.5)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'Ohyarain' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Ohyarain' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Spread

'd33jay86' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Spread

'lsbellmom' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Total

'lsbellmom' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Kazual12' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Total

'Kazual12' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Total

'MLBFan8848' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

MLBFan8848 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'MLBFan8848' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

MLBFan8848 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread

Spread

'plasma9' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

plasma9 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread

LAC

DEN

Spread