Saints @ Falcons Picks & Props

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Bijan Robinson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.8% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. Bijan Robinson has totaled a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Bijan Robinson's 32.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 21.9.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Kyle Pitts has gone out for fewer passes this year (91.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (75.7%).. In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among TEs with 8.2 targets.. Kyle Pitts's pass-catching performance been refined this year, totaling 4.5 adjusted catches vs just 2.7 last year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The predictive model expects Drake London to accrue 9.6 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.. Drake London has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 30.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Drake London has been one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 5.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offensive strategy to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. This year, the tough Falcons defense has given up a meager 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. This year, the formidable Atlanta Falcons defense has given up a puny 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 10th-best rate in football.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The model projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. Bijan Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (20.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.7%).. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

The projections expect the Saints to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 54.4% red zone pass rate.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (67.0% Adjusted Completion%).

A rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.. At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the league (55.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Falcons.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the New Orleans Saints, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.1 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins's 61.9% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his throwing accuracy over last season's 65.6% rate.. Kirk Cousins has been one of the weakest TD passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrible 0.90 per game while ranking in the 21st percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (67.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offensive strategy to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. This year, the tough Falcons defense has conceded a mere 210.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 8th-fewest in football.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (67.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offensive strategy to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The predictive model expects Drake London to accrue 9.6 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.. Drake London has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 30.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Kyle Pitts has gone out for fewer passes this year (91.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (75.7%).. In this contest, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among TEs with 8.2 targets.. After totaling 36.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has produced significantly more this season, currently averaging 51.0 per game.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offensive strategy to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.9 per game) this year.. Juwan Johnson's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 rate last year.. The Falcons defense has conceded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 42.0) to TEs this year.. This year, the tough Falcons defense has given up a meager 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The model projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. Bijan Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (20.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.7%).. Bijan Robinson has totaled a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Our trusted projections expect the Saints offensive strategy to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.. At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

A rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (44.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. This year, the weak Falcons run defense has been torched for a monstrous 128.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 10th-most in football.. The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. This year, the weak Falcons run defense has been torched for a monstrous 128.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 10th-most in football.. The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.2 plays per game.. The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

A rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (44.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.