Packers @ Vikings Picks & Props

The Packers have already locked down the No. 7 seed in the NFC, and they will sit Jordan Love here as he continues to recover from a concussion. The Vikings, meanwhile, are out of the playoff picture despite their four-game winning run, and JJ McCarthy is expected to play after recovering from an injury.

Clayton Tune has little NFL experience, and I’m not exactly expecting him to light it up offensively. McCarthy hasn’t played in a couple of weeks as well, and he’s been relatively inconsistent when available. Both starting running backs are also sidelined, as Josh Jacobs and Aaron Jones are injured. Hammer the Under here. I simply do not see this being a high-scoring affair. 

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in the NFL against the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Packers will be starting backup quarterback Clayton Tune in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. The Vikings linebackers profile as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.. In this week's contest, Josh Oliver is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.5 targets.. The leading projections forecast Josh Oliver to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack in this contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).. Josh Oliver grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a stellar 82.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The Packers will be starting backup quarterback Clayton Tune in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.. The Vikings linebackers profile as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.

The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The predictive model expects Jordan Mason to notch 17.9 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The model projects Jordan Mason to be a less important option in his offense's run game in this contest (32.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.4% in games he has played).