Bengals @ Dolphins Picks & Props

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.. Chase Brown has accumulated a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).. Chase Brown's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 17.9.. With an exceptional rate of 0.13 per game through the air (85th percentile), Chase Brown stands as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among RBs this year.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. De'Von Achane has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. As it relates to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a remarkable 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).. De'Von Achane's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 22.4.. De'Von Achane grades out in the 97th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.25 per game.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.0% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has posted big gains this year, now averaging 82.0 per game.. Jaylen Waddle's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 43.8.. With a terrific ratio of 0.38 per game through the air (87th percentile), Jaylen Waddle rates among the top receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to wide receivers this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.. With an impressive 27.5% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. After accruing 90.0 air yards per game last season, Ja'Marr Chase has posted big gains this season, currently boasting 108.0 per game.. Ja'Marr Chase's 76.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 64.7.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.. The model projects Joe Burrow to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. Joe Burrow has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (3rd percentile).. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Dolphins defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Darren Waller has accumulated a massive 45.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Darren Waller slots into the 90th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a superb 37.6 mark this year.. Darren Waller ranks in the 100th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.86 per game.. This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a staggering 1.07 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the highest rate in football.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -4-point underdogs.. This year, the weak Bengals defense has given up a massive 2.14 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack stats across the board.. Ja'Marr Chase's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 74.8% to 67.5%.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.3% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. This year, the anemic Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded a colossal 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.. The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.3% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects Chase Brown to total 5.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Chase Brown's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 17.9.. Chase Brown profiles as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.. This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a massive 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. De'Von Achane's 74.3% Route% this year marks a significant progression in his passing offense utilization over last year's 61.2% mark.. In this game, De'Von Achane is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 95th percentile among RBs with 5.7 targets.. With an outstanding 3.8 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane places as one of the best pass-game RBs in the league.. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.5%) to RBs this year (86.5%).

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 122.6 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.. The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.. Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.6% to 66.1%.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Darren Waller slots into the 90th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a superb 37.6 mark this year.. Darren Waller has been one of the best TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 122.6 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.. The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.. The model projects Joe Burrow to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Dolphins defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).. The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a massive 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.. This year, the weak Bengals defense has given up a massive 2.14 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a massive 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects Joe Burrow to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Dolphins defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).. The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (260.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.. The Bengals pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.86 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the league.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (260.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.. The Bengals pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects Joe Burrow to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL against the Dolphins defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).. The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The Dolphins have been the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.9% pass rate.. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the predictive model to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The Miami Dolphins have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 48.6 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to throw 33.0 passes this week, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.. Cincinnati's defense profiles as the 6th-best in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, averaging 0.88 per game.

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 61.3 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.. The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all air attack stats across the board.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The model projects Chase Brown to total 5.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Chase Brown has accumulated a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).. Chase Brown's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 17.9.. With a terrific 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (94th percentile) this year, Chase Brown ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. De'Von Achane's 74.3% Route% this year marks a significant progression in his passing offense utilization over last year's 61.2% mark.. In this game, De'Von Achane is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 95th percentile among RBs with 5.7 targets.. As it relates to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a remarkable 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (43.0) versus running backs this year.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is projected by the model to position himself in the 82nd percentile among WRs with 7.3 targets.. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has posted big gains this year, now averaging 82.0 per game.. Jaylen Waddle's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 43.8.. Jaylen Waddle comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 52.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Darren Waller has accumulated a massive 45.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Darren Waller slots into the 90th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a superb 37.6 mark this year.. With an excellent 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Darren Waller has been among the top pass-game TEs in the NFL.. The Bengals defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (92.0) versus tight ends this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 85th percentile among TEs this year, averaging an impressive 35.0 per game.. This year, the poor Dolphins defense has surrendered a colossal 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 8th-worst in the league.. This year, the anemic Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded a colossal 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.. The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to garner 10.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. Ja'Marr Chase's 33.1% Target% this year signifies an impressive growth in his passing game workload over last year's 27.9% figure.. After accruing 90.0 air yards per game last season, Ja'Marr Chase has posted big gains this season, currently boasting 108.0 per game.. The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.9%) vs. WRs this year (66.9%).

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 46.0% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. The opposing side have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (159 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to run defense.

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (135 per game) versus the Dolphins defense this year.