Steelers @ Lions Picks & Props

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. With a high 42.9% Red Zone Target Rate (100th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. After accumulating 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen a big uptick this season, currently pacing 87.0 per game.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. After averaging 7.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Washington has gotten better this season, currently sitting at 15.0 per game.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 26.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 18.2.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 86.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 82.4% mark.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Kenneth Gainwell has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.7% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. DK Metcalf places in the 91st percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 64.4 figure this year.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. The Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.2%) vs. TEs this year (82.2%).. The Steelers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.71 per game this year.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.8 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Jared Goff is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a mere 1.5% of his team's run game usage near the goal line this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among QBs.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.6.

The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an impressive 2.2 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren ranks among the leading running backs in the pass game in the league.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Darnell Washington is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. The Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.2%) vs. TEs this year (82.2%).. The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 11.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this season (33.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.1%).

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (only 51.3 per game on average).. The Lions pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.3%) versus running backs this year (78.3%).. The Detroit Lions safeties profile as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, DK Metcalf stands among the best WRs in the NFL in football.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the model to rank in the 98th percentile among running backs with 6.7 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving skills have gotten better this season, notching 4.1 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.1 last season.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.8% to 67.4%.

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7.5 points.. With a 47.8% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the NFL in this respect has been the Lions.. As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.. Jared Goff's passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 72.0% to 68.9%.. The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.8% to 67.4%.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.9 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.6.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.8 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the shaky Lions defense has yielded a colossal 246.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 8th-most in the league.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The projections expect Jared Goff to attempt 36.8 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Jared Goff has been one of the top QBs in the league this year, averaging an excellent 244.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.6.

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.. The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.. As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.. In registering just 0.33 interceptions per game this year, Jared Goff rates among the leading quarterbacks in the league (87th percentile).. The Steelers have intercepted 0.83 passes per game this year, ranking as the 10th-best defense in football by this statistic.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this game, Darnell Washington is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.

The Steelers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to garner 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (69.0) to TEs this year.. The Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.2%) vs. TEs this year (82.2%).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 11.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this season (33.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.1%).

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (168.0) versus WRs this year.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the model to rank in the 98th percentile among running backs with 6.7 targets.. Jahmyr Gibbs's 17.6% Target% this year conveys a material gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 12.4% rate.

The Steelers are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Kenneth Gainwell is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 96th percentile among running backs with 6.2 targets.

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. Jared Goff's 6.24 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season marks a noteable improvement in his running ability over last season's 3.58 rate.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (59.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).. Jaylen Warren has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. After accounting for 11.4% of his team's carries last year, Kenneth Gainwell has been called on more in the ground game this year, currently making up 29.0%.. Kenneth Gainwell's 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a noteworthy gain in his running prowess over last season's 18.0 mark.. Kenneth Gainwell's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a remarkable improvement in his running skills over last season's 3.8 mark.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. In this game, Jared Goff is anticipated by the model to total the 2nd-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.6. . Comprising a measly 2.4% of his offense's carries this year (5th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Jared Goff's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (59.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 7.5 points.. The Lions rank as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.0% run rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to place in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 17.5 rush attempts.. Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 58.3% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. After accounting for 11.4% of his team's carries last year, Kenneth Gainwell has been called on more in the ground game this year, currently making up 29.0%.