PHI -7.0 o44.0
WAS 7.0 u44.0
GB 1.0 o45.0
CHI -1.0 u45.0
BUF -10.5 o41.0
CLE 10.5 u41.0
TB -3.0 o45.0
CAR 3.0 u45.0
LAC 2.0 o50.0
DAL -2.0 u50.0
NYJ 6.5 o40.5
NO -6.5 u40.5
MIN -2.5 o43.0
NYG 2.5 u43.0
KC -2.5 o38.0
TEN 2.5 u38.0
CIN -4.0 o47.5
MIA 4.0 u47.5
JAC 3.5 o47.0
DEN -3.5 u47.0
ATL -3.0 o48.0
ARI 3.0 u48.0
LV 14.0 o38.5
HOU -14.0 u38.5
PIT 7.0 o52.0
DET -7.0 u52.0
NE 3.0 o49.0
BAL -3.0 u49.0
SF -5.5 o46.5
IND 5.5 u46.5
Final 4OT Dec 18
LA 37 2.0 o42.0
SEA 38 -2.0 u42.0
Raiders 4th AFC West2-12
Texans 2nd AFC South9-5

Raiders @ Texans Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

LV vs HOU Picks

NFL Picks
Score First Touchdown
Nico Collins logo Nico Collins Score First Touchdown (Yes: +475)
Best Odds
 +475 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
 +475
 +425
 +420
 +450
 +475

The Texans are the biggest favorites of the slate and Collins is in good form with two TDs last week and four red zone targets in his past three games.

Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo Nico Collins o66.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o66.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst
o67.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -110
o66.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o66.5  -125
These are quick bet odds

Nico Collins has been unstoppable over the last two months. He’s racked up 662 receiving yards in his past seven contests – at a 94.6 YPG clip – and he turned three catches into 85 yards and two touchdowns last weekend. He’s already clinched his third straight 1,000-yard season, and he’s blown past this O/U number in six of his last seven games.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Dalton Schultz logo Dalton Schultz Score a Touchdown (Yes: +240)
Best Odds
 +250 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +175
 +250
 +170
 +175
 +180

There’s plenty of uncertainty in the Houston backfield, but this sets up as a game the Texans could control from start to finish. In the passing game, the volume is fairly concentrated, with Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz standing out as the primary options. Schultz led the team with nine targets last week and turned them into an 8/76/1 line. Since C.J. Stroud’s return, Schultz has seen 21 targets for 153 yards and a touchdown, along with three looks from inside the five-yard line. That kind of usage makes the price appealing in this matchup, and I’d play it up to +190.

Score a Touchdown
WM
Woody Marks Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Projection 0.7 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +120 FanDuel
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -120
 -110
 +120
 -110
 +106
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
+120 at FanDuel
Receptions Made
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o5.5 Receptions Made (+130)
Projection 6.25 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +130 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o5.5  +113
These are quick bet odds
o5.5  +130
o5.5  +104
These are quick bet odds
o5.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
o5.5  +110
These are quick bet odds
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
+130 at bet365
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o19.5 Passing Completions (+100)
Projection 23.28 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -133 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -133
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  -105
o19.5  -104
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  -130
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
-133 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o31.5 Passing Attempts (+102)
Projection 36.84 (Over)
Best Odds
o31.5 +102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o32.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -115
o31.5  +102
These are quick bet odds
o32.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -120
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
+102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o182.5 Passing Yards (-108)
Projection 232.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o179.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o183.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o187.5  -110
o179.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o187.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o182.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o228.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 256.18 (Over)
Best Odds
o226.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o228.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o226.5  -110
o227.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o226.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o228.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.95 yards.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 44.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o26.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o27.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o26.5  -110
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o26.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o48.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 67.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o48.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o52.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -110
o52.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o52.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
WM
Woody Marks o5.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 13.42 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o5.5  -115
 -
o5.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a massive 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.
-115 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz logo
Dalton Schultz o40.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 50.79 (Over)
Best Odds
o40.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o41.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -110
o40.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a whopping 43.0 per game.. Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.
-110 at bet365

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LV vs HOU Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
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69% picking Houston

31%
69%

Total Picks LV 198, HOU 446

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112

LV vs HOU Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating
Woody Marks
W. Marks
running back RB • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Yes
+120
fanduel
fanduel
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Woody Marks logo

Woody Marks

RB • HOU vs. LV
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.7

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Nico Collins
N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Yes
+106
caesars
caesars
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an extraordinary 26.1% Red Zone Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 103.0 per game. Nico Collins grades out in the 89th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.40 per game.

Nico Collins logo

Nico Collins

WR • HOU vs. LV
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.51

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an extraordinary 26.1% Red Zone Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 103.0 per game. Nico Collins grades out in the 89th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.40 per game.
Cody Schrader
C. Schrader
running back RB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+700
draftkings
draftkings
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

LV vs HOU Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
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'ptrixie' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
Total

'ptrixie' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (38.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
Total

'bostonutah' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
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'bostonutah' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
Spread
+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
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'sweeton60' is picking Houston to cover (-12.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
Total

'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (37.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
Total

'bestfriendbb' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

bestfriendbb is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
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'hungcodon' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
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'bestfriendbb' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

bestfriendbb is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
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'bobalten5000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+14.0)

bobalten5000 is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
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'blueminer000' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
Total

'blueminer000' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
Total

'Jims Flying Eagles' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
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'Jims Flying Eagles' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
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+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
Total

'sprality777' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

sprality777 is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
37.5 -126
38.5 -104
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'sprality777' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

sprality777 is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Spread
LV
HOU
Spread
+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112
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'Rebelair90' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

Rebelair90 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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LV
HOU
Spread
+14.0 -110
-13.5 -112

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