Raiders @ Texans Picks & Props

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The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Nick Chubb has notched a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. With an extraordinary 26.1% Red Zone Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 103.0 per game.. Nico Collins grades out in the 89th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.40 per game.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a whopping 43.0 per game.. Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Houston's collection of safeties has been excellent this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the daunting Texans run defense has yielded a paltry 0.71 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. The rushing TD column reads "0" on the back of C.J. Stroud's trading card this year.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this game, Nico Collins is expected by the model to rank in the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.. With an impressive 25.1% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Nico Collins ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.5%) versus WRs this year (70.5%).

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.9 targets.. Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.. Dalton Schultz's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year represents a significant progression in his receiving talent over last year's 3.0 mark.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.95 yards.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a giant 14-point favorite in this game.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. In this week's game, C.J. Stroud is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.0. . Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.. The Texans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.. In averaging a monstrous 0.94 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith stands among the bottom QBs in the league (8th percentile).

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. Nick Chubb has notched a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a massive 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a massive 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.9 targets.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a whopping 43.0 per game.. Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this game, Nico Collins is expected by the model to rank in the 90th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.. With an impressive 25.1% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Nico Collins ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 103.0 per game.

Geno Smith grades out as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an exceptional 2.65 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 94th percentile.

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An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a giant 14-point favorite in this game.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a giant 14-point favorite in this game.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. Nick Chubb's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a remarkable growth in his running proficiency over last year's 3.2 mark.. The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.4% run rate.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.