Chargers @ Cowboys Picks & Props

The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a sizeable 20.9% Red Zone Target% (86th percentile) this year, George Pickens places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Chargers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Chargers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Jake Ferguson has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Javonte Williams grades out in the 88th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.14 per game.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Chargers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate. The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.3 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Dak Prescott to throw 36.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Chargers rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 59.6% red zone pass rate. The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.