Cowboys @ Lions Picks & Props

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.0 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to be much less involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (10.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.1% in games he has played). Jahmyr Gibbs's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 18.2.

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.0 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in football versus the Cowboys defense this year (75.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. While Jameson Williams has garnered 7.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Detroit's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 24.0%. Jameson Williams has posted a monstrous 68.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.0 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (37.9 per game) this year. Taking on a measly 1.7% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls this year (21st percentile when it comes to QBs), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat in Detroit's rushing attack near the end zone. With a remarkable 69.8% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, Jared Goff places as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football.

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.0 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average).