Cleveland @ New England Picks & Props

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. The projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this contest (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played). When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 85.1% to 88.7%.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. At the present time, the 3rd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Browns. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. At the present time, the 3rd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Browns. Jerry Jeudy places in the 84th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 57.1 figure this year. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. While Stefon Diggs has garnered 18.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of New England's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 25.2%. Stefon Diggs's 51.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 89.0%.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. With an exceptional 25.9% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. Hunter Henry has posted a massive 44.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. Hunter Henry's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for tight ends. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. At the present time, the 3rd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Browns. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. This year, the stout Cleveland Browns run defense has given up a puny 0.43 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. At the present time, the 3rd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Browns. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.