Tennessee @ Arizona Picks & Props

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Emari Demercado has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs. When talking about air yards, Emari Demercado ranks in the towering 87th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The running touchdown column reads "0" on Kyler Murray's player page this year. Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.8% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. While Trey McBride has received 22.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Arizona's passing offense near the goal line in this contest at 28.0%. When talking about air yards, Trey McBride ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging an astounding 52.0 per game. Trey McBride rates in the 100th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 59.0 figure this year.

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% red zone pass rate. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 7.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 79th percentile among running backs. Michael Carter rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs, catching a terrific 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 100th percentile. Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has been torched for a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the end zone in this game (6.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).