Clemson vs California Picks & Props
CLEM vs CAL Picks
NCAAF PicksThe first-quarter Under 7.5 is roughly even money, and it's playable up to 52%. California is tied for 83rd nationally in first-quarter scoring against FBS opponents at 3.5 points per game, while Clemson ranks 82nd at 4.3. Both offenses will be incentivized to run the ball against defenses that have struggled on the ground, while Clemson is also dealing with the aforementioned injuries along the D-line. The Tigers should also start slowly while adjusting to the West Coast time zone.
The Tigers have cluster injuries to their interior defensive line, which should help the Bears, who are gaining just 3.4 yards per rush. Also, California's defense is allowing 5.3 yards per carry. If Clemson establishes the run, it'll open up its passing attack.
Clemson could need a quarter to shake off the West Coast travel, while California’s offense has been similarly quiet early. From there, the matchup favors points, with both defenses vulnerable on the ground and Clemson dealing with injuries up front. If Cal hangs around offensively, it has a real path to the outright upset Saturday.
CLEM vs CAL Consensus Picks
CLEM vs CAL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
CLEM
T. Reynolds
(QB)
o207.5 Passing Yards
229.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+21.7
DIFFERENCE
24.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
CAL
A. Mohammed
(RB)
u86.5 Rushing Yards
80.29 UNDER
PROJECTION
-6.2
DIFFERENCE
22.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CLEM
T. Moore
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
87.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+27.9
DIFFERENCE
27.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
C. Hendricks
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
73.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.0
DIFFERENCE
27.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CLEM
B. Wesco Jr.
(WR)
o53.5 Receiving Yards
69.49 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.0
DIFFERENCE
25.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
M. Mini
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
30.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
8.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
I. Strong
(WR)
o57.5 Receiving Yards
59.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
7.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CAL
C. Hendricks
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
15.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CLEM
T. Moore
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
6.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CLEM
B. Wesco Jr.
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
4.75 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CAL
A. Mohammed
(RB)
u4.5 Receptions
4.10 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CAL
I. Strong
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
CLEM
T. Reynolds
(QB)
o19.5 Completions
20.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
10.25%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Golden Bears last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Golden Bears last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 10-1-1 in Tigers last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
Under is 8-2 in Golden Bears last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games as an underdog.