Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest Picks & Props
MIA vs WAKE Picks
NCAAF PicksThe Demon Deacons' first-half spread is good down to 10.5 because they have covered the first-half spread in 10 of their last 12 games and the Hurricanes can wear them down and pull away in the second half since they are a more physical team.
I lean toward the Under at 54.5 or higher. These teams are 4-0 to the Over this season and Wake Forest just gave up 36 points to Purdue last week. I prefer fading the market and recent results rather than following them. Miami ranks 107th nationally in seconds per play and 28 of the 69 points in Wake Forest's game against Purdue last week were scored in double overtime.
Wake Forest is good down to +17.5. I like backing dual-threat quarterbacks, like Wake Forest QB Gio Lopez, because they can turn busted passing plays into first downs and explosives outside structure. Miami has just three sacks this season and is missing three of its five best cornerbacks.
Gio Lopez’s mobility gives the Demon Deacons enough offense to stay competitive, while Miami’s slow tempo supports the Under. Wake Forest has also covered the first-half spread in 10 of its last 12 games, making +11.5 a natural fit alongside +20.5 and Under 56.5 in this primetime matchup.
MIA vs WAKE Consensus Picks
66% picking Miami (FL)
Total Picks MIA 450, WAKE 227
MIA vs WAKE Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
Over
56.5 Total
58.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
8.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
213.01 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.5
DIFFERENCE
18.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
D. Mensah
(QB)
o277.5 Passing Yards
289.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.7
DIFFERENCE
17.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
D. Lawrence
(RB)
o19.5 Rushing Yards
39.05 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.5
DIFFERENCE
27.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Mensah
(QB)
o1.5 Rushing Yards
4.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
24.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MIA
M. Fletcher Jr.
(RB)
u77.5 Rushing Yards
68.18 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.3
DIFFERENCE
23.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
o9.5 Rushing Yards
13.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.5
DIFFERENCE
19.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
T. Clark III
(RB)
o31.5 Rushing Yards
32.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIA
M. Toney
(WR)
o104.5 Receiving Yards
132.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+28.3
DIFFERENCE
26.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WAKE
K. Shanks
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
47.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
25.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WAKE
C. Hernandez
(WR)
o67.5 Receiving Yards
76.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.1
DIFFERENCE
25.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MIA
M. Toney
(WR)
o6.5 Receptions
9.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.1
DIFFERENCE
22.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MIA
C. Barkate
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
19.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WAKE
K. Shanks
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
o9.5 Carries
9.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-13.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
u18.5 Completions
18.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.18%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Demon Deacons last 6 games overall.
Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0 in Demon Deacons last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-0 in Demon Deacons last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
ROI Trends
MIA vs WAKE Top User Picks
'fishercz' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-19.5)
fishercz is #10 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'gonefishing2323' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-23.5)
gonefishing2323 is #10 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'dmoney1981' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-21.5)
dmoney1981 is #2 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'nit2win' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
nit2win is #2 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'pokersquirrel' is picking Wake Forest to cover (+20.5)
pokersquirrel is #3 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'shawnboskie' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-21.5)
shawnboskie is #3 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'jbros01' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
jbros01 is #4 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'luke44' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
luke44 is #5 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'bonny2bag' is picking Wake Forest to cover (+20.5)
bonny2bag is #5 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'tkeeton' is picking Wake Forest to cover (+20.5)
tkeeton is #6 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'liveactiondockery' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
liveactiondockery is #6 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'dkaj' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
dkaj is #7 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'RedskinsWoman' is picking Wake Forest to cover (+20.5)
RedskinsWoman is #8 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'Hotstuff1301' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
Hotstuff1301 is #8 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'TDRO1' is picking Miami (FL) to cover (-20.5)
TDRO1 is #9 on picking games that Wake Forest is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'big_tigger_505' is picking Wake Forest to cover (+19.5)
big_tigger_505 is #9 on picking games that Miami (FL) is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.