Baylor vs Auburn Picks & Props
BAY vs AUB Picks
NCAAF PicksAuburn and Baylor both enter Week 1 with new quarterbacks, but the Tigers may have the bigger advantage. Auburn added former USF standout Byrum Brown, who brings familiarity with head coach Alex Golesh, the system and several former USF teammates. Brown showed he can produce against Power 4 competition last season, including strong performances against Florida and Miami. Meanwhile, Baylor quarterback DJ Lagway enters the season with questions surrounding his supporting cast, while the Bears' defense still has plenty to prove under Dave Aranda. With Auburn's familiarity and talent, the Tigers are the side to target.
With Lagway lacking weapons and the Bears' defense not living up to expectations with Dave Aranda at the helm, it is hard to think this won't be a big breakout game for Auburn, potentially leading to an early upset in Week 1. Be patient for -6.5 or -7, but it is the Tigers or nothing here. The chemistry should be there with Auburn’s offense, and with Aranda’s defense failing to live up to expectations despite his defensive background, the Over is the move here.
BAY vs AUB Consensus Picks
BAY vs AUB Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
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|
TOTAL
Under
59.5 Total
57.72 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.8
DIFFERENCE
11.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
D. Lagway
(QB)
o254.5 Passing Yards
281.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+27.2
DIFFERENCE
25.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
AUB
B. Brown
(QB)
u251.5 Passing Yards
238.48 UNDER
PROJECTION
-13.0
DIFFERENCE
20.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
D. Lagway
(QB)
u11.5 Rushing Yards
5.78 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.7
DIFFERENCE
26.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
AUB
B. Brown
(QB)
u66.5 Rushing Yards
52.71 UNDER
PROJECTION
-13.8
DIFFERENCE
25.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BAY
D. Pendergrass
(RB)
o54.5 Rushing Yards
58.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.3
DIFFERENCE
18.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
AUB
J. Cobb
(RB)
o70.5 Rushing Yards
73.01 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
9.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
AUB
C. Nimrod
(WR)
o35.5 Receiving Yards
59.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+23.6
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BAY
G. Freeman
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
64.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.5
DIFFERENCE
25.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BAY
L. Brown IV
(WR)
o51.5 Receiving Yards
65.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
25.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
AUB
J. Cobb
(RB)
u7.5 Receiving Yards
7.47 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
14.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BAY
L. Brown IV
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
5.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
21.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BAY
G. Freeman
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
20.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
AUB
J. Cobb
(RB)
u1.5 Receptions
0.90 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
19.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
AUB
C. Nimrod
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.71 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
12.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
AUB
K. Singleton
(WR)
u4.5 Receptions
4.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BAY
D. Pendergrass
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
1.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
AUB
B. Brown
(QB)
u15.5 Carries
13.05 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
19.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BAY
D. Pendergrass
(RB)
u12.5 Carries
12.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
13.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
AUB
J. Cobb
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
14.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-0.67%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 11-0 in Bears last 11 neutral site games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
Under is 8-1 in Tigers last 9 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. Big 12.
Over is 7-2-1 in Bears last 10 games as an underdog.
ROI Trends
BAY vs AUB Top User Picks
Baylor Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Bears Money Leaders | |||
Auburn Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||