Jadan Baugh Rushing Yards Props • Florida
J. Baugh
running back RB • Florida
Florida @ Mississippi Picks & Props
FLA vs MISS Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
MISS -11.5 (-108)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
This is a mismatch nightmare for the Gators. Ole Miss thrives on hitting big passes, and the Gators have been giving them up in bunches of late. The Rebels also rank ninth in rushing EPA and 11th in passing EPA, while embarking on quality drives at a high rate.
The Rebels are highly motivated, while Florida is banged up and trying to figure out who should play quarterback. This isn't the game to have that conundrum.
Florida is 0-4 ATS on the road this season, and failing to cover by an average of more than 15 points. Take the Rebels to make this one ugly.
Score a Touchdown
Harrison Wallace III Score a Touchdown (Yes: +160)
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Receptions
DW
Dae'Quan Wright u2.5 Receptions (+120)
Projection 2.4217 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
DA
Deuce Alexander u3.5 Receptions (-178)
Projection 2.6772 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
VB
Vernell Brown III u4.5 Receptions (-140)
Projection 4.1849 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
Harrison Wallace III o3.5 Receptions (+108)
Projection 3.5984 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
DJ Lagway u1.5 TD Passes (-250)
Projection 0.9766 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Trinidad Chambliss u274.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 250.5816 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
DJ Lagway u213.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 209.4805 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JS
J. Michael Sturdivant o26.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 43.7939 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DW
Dae'Quan Wright u44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 33.9303 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Harrison Wallace III o47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 58.3016 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
FLA vs MISS Consensus Picks
67% picking Mississippi
Total Picks FLA 161, MISS 326
Spread
FLA
MISS
FLA vs MISS Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Kewan Lacy Rushing Yards Props • Mississippi
K. Lacy
running back RB • Mississippi
FLA vs MISS Trends
Florida Trends
Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 1% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 8 games (-7.40 Units / -77% ROI)
Florida has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.60 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.30 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (-4.25 Units / -13% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida have only covered the Spread in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.50 Units / -68% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Mississippi Trends
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (-16.15 Units / -37% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games at home (-4.95 Units / -54% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.90 Units / -36% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 4 games at home (-4.52 Units / -100% ROI)
Ole Miss has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games at home (-3.60 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Over
Under
FLA vs MISS Top User Picks
'bigsmoke21169' is picking Mississippi to cover (-15.5)
bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4350 units on the season.
Spread
FLA
MISS
'pittsburghphil' is picking Mississippi to cover (-16.5)
pittsburghphil is #3 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.
Spread
FLA
MISS
'frankjohn' is picking Mississippi to cover (-16.5)
frankjohn is #4 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +3750 units on the season.
Spread
FLA
MISS
'whooped' is picking Florida to cover (+13.5)
whooped is #5 on picking games that Florida is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.
Spread
FLA
MISS
'timstutler25' is picking Mississippi to cover (-16.5)
timstutler25 is #8 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +3200 units on the season.
Spread
FLA
MISS