Toronto @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Gradey Dick should experience a decrease in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

AJ Green has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Relative to last year's 11.0 rate, AJ Green's playing time has surged this year to 15.6 minutes per game. AJ Green has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (24th percentile). The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Chris Boucher has sunk 65.0% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the league. Chris Boucher ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Immanuel Quickley ought to see a decline in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a mere 12.5% of his three-point shots this year, significantly less than his 28.5 mark last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile). The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Taurean Prince has sunk 76.3% of his three-point attempts when playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 23.9 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a good matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. Out of all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince comes in at the 100th percentile for free-throw proficiency while on his home court with a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

Davion Mitchell has sunk 39.4% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league. Davion Mitchell has sunk 19.2% of his treys on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

Jakob Poeltl has converted 52.4% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Brook Lopez has been very high (3.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 89th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing on the road with an exceptional 58.6% rate this year. Ochai Agbaji has made 57.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Ochai Agbaji has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a positive one; he has allowed a whopping 21.8 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game (100th percentile). Brook Lopez is expected to get a boost in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Pat Connaughton has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Gary Trent has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jamal Shead has gone over 5.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.