San Diego @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast forecasts the most suitable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

The weather forecast forecasts the most suitable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Ben Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup.

The weather forecast forecasts the most suitable pitching weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's launch angle this season (5°) is considerably worse than his 13.5° figure last season.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Martin Maldonado pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Elias Diaz has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ian Happ has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Given Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Seiya Suzuki will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Kyle Tucker has significantly improved, with an increase from 12.9% last year to 27.9% this year.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Pete Crow-Armstrong's launch angle this season (23.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° mark last season. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Miguel Amaya will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hart in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Hart has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .233 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. In the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Considering Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Dansby Swanson will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Because of Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Matthew Shaw will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matthew Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. Matthew Shaw has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph.

Nico Hoerner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hart today... and even more favorably, Hart has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 67.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Using Statcast data, Manny Machado is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Gavin Sheets is in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.6% rate since the start of last season).

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) implies that Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .207 actual batting average.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Given Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Justin Turner will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Because of Kyle Hart's large platoon split, Carson Kelly will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Carson Kelly's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 81st percentile.