Braves vs White Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 20, 2026 , 08:34 AM ET • 4 min read

Chicago's red-hot offense will thrive against a vulnerable Braves staff, while Atlanta's horrible 41 wRC+ over the last week is hard to overlook.

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
ATL
54 %
CHW
46 %
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Chicago White Sox MLB Miguel Vargas
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago White Sox third baseman Miguel Vargas.

The Chicago White Sox are priced as a -107 moneyline favorite for today's makeup game against the Atlanta Braves, with first pitch scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET at Rate Field. 

With Grant Holmes struggling and Chicago raking, my Braves vs. White Sox predictions are backing the hosts to grab a victory here. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 20. 

Who will win Braves vs White Sox today: White Sox moneyline (-107)

The Atlanta Braves send Grant Holmes to the hill this afternoon, and he's been in poor form. The right-hander owns a 6.02 xERA over his last two appearances while allowing a 43.6% hard-hit rate and 11.1% barrel rate over the last month.

He has his hands full against a Chicago White Sox lineup carrying a 135 wRC+ over its previous seven games.

Anthony Kay is not lights-out, but he is holding his own. The left-hander owns a 3.87 FIP across his last five starts while allowing 0.96 HR/9.

He faces an Atlanta lineup with a 96 wRC+ vs. southpaws and a 41 wRC+ over the last week.

Chicago has the clear edge. Play this pick to -130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Braves haven't performed well on the road this season, collecting a 90 wRC+. At home, that number jumps up to 107.

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Braves vs White Sox Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-103)

With Atlanta practically invisible offensively, the Under is the better play.

I expect Chicago to score runs. The White Sox are thriving at the dish, and the Braves’ bullpen profile is concerning once Holmes exits. Atlanta’s relief corps owns a 5.67 FIP across the last week.

However, Kay should be able to limit the damage against the coldest lineup in baseball at the moment, and the White Sox’s relief corps is solid. Chicago’s pen has a 3.73 xERA across its last 42 frames while surrendering just 0.86 HR/9.

Chicago’s staff should keep Atlanta at bay, while the White Sox score a handful themselves.

Play this pick to -120. 

Braves vs White Sox home run prediction: Miguel Vargas (+350)

Miguel Vargas has been a home run machine this season for the Sox, and he's in great power form.

Vargas has clubbed three bombs in his last six contests, posting a .414 ISO during that span. The slugger also has a 54.2% hard-hit rate and 20.8% barrel rate over the last week. 

Holmes has given up 1.42 HR/9 across the last month, and the Braves' pen is extremely vulnerable to the long ball right now as well. They've allowed 1.80 HR/9 in their last 45 innings of work.

Vargas has multiple paths to leave the yard today. Play to +200. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 55-64, -16.87 units
  • Over/Under bets: 66-50, +6.85 units

Braves vs White Sox weather

Weather at Rate Field looks excellent this afternoon, with clear skies, temperatures around 74–75°F, and rain chances at 0% throughout the game window. Winds sit around 7–8 mph before easing slightly later.

Braves vs White Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Braves +100 | White Sox -107
  • Run line: Braves -1.5 (+163) | White Sox +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-103)

Braves vs White Sox trend

The White Sox have hit the moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+15.35 Units / 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. White Sox.

How to watch Braves vs White Sox and game info

Location Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Date Thursday, Aug. 20, 2026
First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
TV Chicago Sports Network, BravesVision
Braves starting pitcher Grant Holmes
(7-5, 3.82 ERA)
White Sox starting pitcher Anthony Kay
(9-5, 4.01 ERA)

Braves vs White Sox latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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