MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

STL @

DET Sat, Apr 4 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Spencer Torkelson u0.5 Total Hits (+143)

Projection 0.72

Best Odds

u0.5 +143

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +143

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +133

u0.5 +135

Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's game.. Today, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

+143 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total Bases (-125)

Projection 1.32

Best Odds

o0.5 -125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +187

o1.5 +175

o0.5 -125

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

-125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIL @

KC Sat, Apr 4 • 2:10 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+183)

Projection 0.81

Best Odds

u0.5 +183

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +183

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +175

Salvador Perez's BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-coldest temperature of the day at 49°.. Chad Patrick will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's matchup.. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest LF fences in today's game.. Typically, bats like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.

+183 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+123)

Projection 0.63

Best Odds

u0.5 +130

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +123

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +130

Jake Bauers's batting average talent is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-coldest temperature of the day at 49°.. In today's matchup, Jake Bauers is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (86th percentile).. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Bauers in today's matchup.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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TOR @

CHW Sat, Apr 4 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+125)

Projection 0.62

Best Odds

u0.5 +125

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Hitting from the same side that Mason Fluharty throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have a tough challenge in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Edgar Quero o1.5 Total Bases (+224)

Projection 1.47

Best Odds

o0.5 -130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +224

o1.5 +210

o0.5 -130

Edgar Quero is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #5 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Mason Fluharty.. Edgar Quero has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

-130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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LAD @

WAS Sat, Apr 4 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Bases (-230)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o0.5 -230

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o0.5 -230

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +111

o0.5 -230

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

-230 at bet365

Total Bases

Andy Pages o0.5 Total Bases (-220)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o0.5 -220

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o0.5 -220

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +113

o0.5 -230

Andy Pages's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

-220 at bet365

View 10 Picks

HOU @

ATH Sat, Apr 4 • 4:05 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Christian Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+155)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +156

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +156

u0.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Luis Morales throws from, Christian Walker has a tough challenge in today's game.. In today's game, Christian Walker is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 37.9% rate (76th percentile).

+156 at Caesars

Total Hits

Nick Kurtz u0.5 Total Hits (+165)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

u0.5 +165

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +165

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for pitchers.. Nick Kurtz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 3 Picks

BAL @

PIT Sat, Apr 4 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Henry Davis o0.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 1.21

Best Odds

o0.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +229

o1.5 +220

o0.5 -115

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

-115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-215)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o0.5 -215

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 -105

o0.5 -215

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 12th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

-215 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

SD @

BOS Sat, Apr 4 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Carlos Narvaez u0.5 Total Hits (+125)

Projection 0.63

Best Odds

u0.5 +129

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +129

u0.5 +120

u0.5 +125

Carlos Narvaez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-coldest weather of all games today at 47°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 14.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

+129 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+155)

Projection 0.79

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +152

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +151

u0.5 +155

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-coldest weather of all games today at 47°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 14.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

NYY Sat, Apr 4 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Austin Slater u0.5 Total Hits (+136)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

u0.5 +136

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +136

u0.5 +120

The #3 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 55°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest CF fences today.

+136 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+148)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

u0.5 +148

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +145

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #27 stadium in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 55°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Ryan Weathers will have the handedness advantage over Jakob Marsee in today's game.

+148 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

CIN @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sat, Apr 4 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

u0.5 +140

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +138

u0.5 -110

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +120

Will Benson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Benson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Benson in today's matchup.

+140 at Caesars

Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o0.5 -185

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +146

o0.5 -200

o1.5 +125

o0.5 -185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 7th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Kumar Rocker in today's game.

-185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIL @

KC Sat, Apr 4 • 7:10 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks

Total

u9.0 (-110)

Best Odds

u9.0 +100

Pick made: 10 hours ago

u9.0 -105

u9.0 -106

u9.0 -105

u9.0 +100

Kansas City bats are off to a bit of a slow start, ranking 16th in OPS and 17th in wRC+, and face a Brewers bullpen that ranks second in xFIP.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

MIL (-110)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 10 hours ago

-118

-115

-118

-120

The Brew Crew enter this game ranked third in both wRC+ and OPS and have plated six or more runs in five of their six games this season, going against Royals prospect Luinder Avila.

Read Full Analysis

View 9 Picks

TB @

MIN Sat, Apr 4 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Royce Lewis u0.5 Total Hits (+145)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +128

u0.5 +122

u0.5 +137

u0.5 +145

Royce Lewis's BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. The 9th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Target Field.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 38°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 0.79

Best Odds

u1.5 -200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -200

u0.5 +130

Josh Bell is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 9th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Target Field.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 38°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Steven Matz today.

-200 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CHC @

CLE Sat, Apr 4 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+205)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +205

Pick made: 23 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +205

u0.5 +161

u0.5 +165

Typically, hitters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Shota Imanaga.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.

+205 at bet365

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+167)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o0.5 -160

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +167

o1.5 +140

o0.5 -160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.

-160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

ATL @

AZ Sat, Apr 4 • 7:15 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total RBIs

Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

o0.5 +180

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +113

o0.5 +170

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the game for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+180 at FanDuel

View Pick

PHI @

COL Sat, Apr 4 • 8:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Outs Recorded

Jesus Luzardo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)

Projection 16.89

Best Odds

u17.5 +135

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 +135

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for batting average.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. As a result of his large platoon split, Jesus Luzardo will not have the upper hand squaring off against 7 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in this matchup.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo in today's game.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-285)

Projection 2.64

Best Odds

o0.5 -285

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -290

o0.5 -400

o0.5 -285

When assessing his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

-285 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

NYM @

SF Sat, Apr 4 • 9:05 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +203

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +203

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +119

o0.5 +195

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park grades out as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in the majors.. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+203 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)

Projection 0.5

Best Odds

o0.5 +235

Pick made: 23 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +216

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +133

o0.5 +210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Willy Adames is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park projects as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

+235 at bet365

View 5 Picks

SEA @

LAA Sat, Apr 4 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Mike Trout o0.5 Total Bases (-185)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o0.5 -185

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o0.5 -185

Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

-185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total Bases (-165)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o0.5 -165

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o0.5 -165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

-165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

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