MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jun 16 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games today at 33%.. Jesus Luzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Stowers today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Luzardo's large platoon split.. Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #10 field in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jun 16 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 16 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. Curtis Mead has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. Curtis Mead has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jun 16 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 16 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Brett Baty's launch angle this season (8.8°) is quite a bit better than his 5.7° angle last season.
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (88%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. The 3rd-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Brayan Rocchio logo
Brayan Rocchio o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Brayan Rocchio has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 90.4-mph.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 16 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Kumar Rocker's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Kody Clemens has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 94.8-mph over the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-129)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Michael Busch will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Michael Busch will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jun 16 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in the majors.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Hits
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Mike Trout has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Merrill Kelly struggles to strike batters out (24th percentile K%) — great news for Trout.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Reid Detmers.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 park in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Logan Gilbert. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+276)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences in the league.. Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (-113)
Projection 2.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nick Kurtz as Major League Baseball's 9th-best home run batter.. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 102°.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 102°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.6-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Jun 16 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mookie Betts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. Cedric Mullins has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 2.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Cedric Mullins has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 92.6-mph in the last 14 days.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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