Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 field in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.5° mark last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, George Springer's 11.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Sporting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 85th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Extreme groundball hitters like Davis Schneider usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Matt Chapman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Trevor Story has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.