Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
NYY
@
DET
Wed, Jun 24 • 6:40 PM ET
o7.0 (-120)
The Detroit Tigers rank eighth in ISO and first in flyball rate against lefties in June so they’re well equipped to put Ryan Weathers’ homerun struggles to the test.
Tarik Skubal hasn't been perfect. He ranks in the 32nd percentile in hard hit rate and has allowed multiple runs in four straight starts.
Play the Over to -130.
DET (-145)
Ryan Weathers has allowed at least five runs in four of his past six starts, conceding 10 homers along the way. The Detroit Tigers rank 15th in ISO against left-handed pitching so they have enough power to cause problems for Weathers. With Tarik Skubal on the mound, the Tigers are worth backing to -150.
SEA
@
PIT
Wed, Jun 24 • 6:40 PM ET
KC
@
TB
Wed, Jun 24 • 6:40 PM ET
PHI
@
WAS
Wed, Jun 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+640)
I don't think I can leave Brandon Marsh off the card today after he helped spark the ninth-inning comeback last night with a homer off Washington closer Brad Lord. He has gone deep in each game of this series and might have an even better chance to leave the yard tonight despite being priced only slightly shorter than yesterday. Miles Mikolas gets the ball today, and he owns the worst HR/FB rate in baseball while also carrying the 10th-worst Blast Contact percentage allowed. His HR/9 at home sits at a hefty 2.5, and Washington has been protecting him lately by using an opener ahead of him. Not today. As a traditional starter this season, Mikolas has posted an 8.80 ERA with an .861 OPS allowed. After last night's wild game, it wouldn't be surprising to see both teams leave the yard multiple times again.
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Luis Garcia has gone deep in each game of this series against the Phillies, which has already produced five homers last night and three more in the opener. Home runs have accounted for 15 total runs through the first two games. Three of Garcia's last four hits have left the yard. He is locked in right now and gets another great matchup and setting today. There is a slight wind blowing out to right field again, which has helped the left-handed bats throughout this series. Aaron Nola still looks like he's searching for answers. He owns the 28th-worst HR/FB rate among MLB starters over the last 30 days and has allowed multiple home runs in back-to-back starts. His HR/9 is worse on the road, and left-handed hitters have tagged him for a .909 OPS. Everything lines up for Garcia to stay hot.
HOU
@
TOR
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:07 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+265)
Kazuma Okamoto profiles well against Mike Burrows, who’s a contact pitcher that gets barreled up at 9.1% rate and ranks in the 54th percentile in hard-hit rate. The Jays slugger barrels the ball better than any other Blue Jays and makes hard contact with a .300 average and a 56.8% hard-hit rate against Burrows’ top pitches.
Burrows gives up a lot of contact, ranking in the 22nd percentile in xBA, and decently hard contact with a high air-ball and line drive rate.
Okamoto has a hit in four of his last five games and profiles well against Burrows’ pitch mid, owning a .346 average against them since June 1. He’s recorded at least one hit in 14 of 19 games this month.
The Astros own a 32% strikeout rate against the splitter with a 38% whiff rate. Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage uses the splitter as his out-pitch, and generates a 40% whiff rate on it. Add Over 5.5 Ks for Yesavage to the SGP.
MIL
@
CIN
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:10 PM ET
Brice Turang and Jake Bauers both draw elite ratings on Batters-Box, each carrying at least 68% arsenal coverage against Rhett Lowder. The matchup is particularly appealing for left-handed hitters, as Lowder has struggled, over his last 60 lefties faced, he has allowed significant hard contact and elevation, along with a .311 expected batting average, .627 expected slugging percentage, and .397 expected wOBA. Milwaukee's patient approach only adds to the appeal. The Brewers rank among baseball's best teams at drawing walks, while Lowder has battled command issues all season, creating multiple paths for offensive production.
Rhett Lowder o2.5 Walks Allowed (+127)
Rhett Lowder draws a difficult matchup against a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that has consistently shown patience at the plate. The Brewers own the second highest road walk rate in baseball this season and lead the league with a 10.7% walk rate over their last 21 games. They also feature several hitters with strong recent walk profiles against right handed pitching. Lowder's command has been a concern throughout the year, as he has issued walks at nearly a 20% clip over his last five outings and 15.15% across his last three starts. If Milwaukee remains disciplined, there should be opportunities to reach base early and often.
CHC
@
NYM
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:10 PM ET
LAD
@
MIN
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
Even if Shohei Ohtani and Joe Ryan pitch well early, both bullpens create opportunities for offense. Minnesota's relievers own a 5.43 ERA and 4.92 BB/9 over the last week, while Los Angeles' bullpen has posted a 4.81 FIP during the same span.
LAD -1.5 (+101)
Shohei Ohtani enters in dominant form with a 3.14 FIP across his last 24.2 innings and a 1.23 road ERA. Joe Ryan's recent hard-contact issues create concern against a Dodgers lineup that continues to thrive away from home and generate quality offensive production.
AZ
@
STL
Wed, Jun 24 • 7:45 PM ET
Ketel Marte is in a prime spot against left-hander Matthew Liberatore. The Diamondbacks star owns an elite Batters-Box rating and records a hit 72% of the time in that designation across a 133-game sample. He has also mashed southpaws lately, posting a .680 SLG and 1.047 OPS over his last 60 plate appearances. On the mound, Liberatore draws one of the league's toughest strikeout matchups against an Arizona lineup that rarely whiffs. Right-handed hitters have also hammered him recently, producing elite hard contact, barrel, and expected stats. I think Arizona puts plenty of pressure on him and comes away with the win.
Matthew Liberatore u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-152)
I am already fading Matthew Liberatore this evening by backing Ketel Marte, and the strikeout under also stands out in this matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks do not feature a single hitter above league average in strikeout rate per Batters-Box, giving Liberatore a difficult environment to work through. He also draws one of the weakest opponent strikeout profiles on the slate. The under 3.5 strikeouts is in play given his underlying trends, with unders at this range landing only about 30% over a 30 game sample. Arizona has kept strikeouts low across multiple recent stretches and continues to show a strong contact profile against left handed pitching.
ATL
@
SD
Wed, Jun 24 • 8:40 PM ET
u8.0 (-110)
The San Diego Padres own a league-worst .285 on base percentage against left-handed pitching.
Martin Perez has conceded two runs or fewer in 11 of 14 starts and this is a great spot for him to do so again.
While the Atlanta Braves possess a lot of power vs. lefties, they sit 19th in OBP.
Play to -120.
ATL (-135)
JP Sears posted a 5.04 ERA last season while allowing 1.99 homers per nine innings.
That's a recipe for disaster against the Atlanta Braves, who rank third in home runs, eighth in SLG, and ninth in ISO when facing left-handed pitching.
It'll be difficult for a putrid San Diego Padres offense to keep up.
Back Atlanta to -150.
ATH
@
SF
Wed, Jun 24 • 9:45 PM ET
Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers both profile as strong hitting options against Tyler Mahle, thanks to outstanding arsenal coverage and elite Batters-Box ratings. Kurtz owns 100% arsenal coverage in the matchup, while Langeliers checks in at 82%, with both players recording hits in roughly 70% of their elite-rated opportunities. Mahle's heavy fastball usage plays into the strengths of this Athletics lineup, and nearly half of his pitch mix grades below league average. With four elite-rated hitters in the order and Mahle carrying poorly rated wOBA, ISO, and hard contact metrics, Oakland is well positioned to generate offense throughout the game.
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-123)
Nick Kurtz draws a strong matchup against Tyler Mahle and enters in peak form. Kurtz carries elite Batters-Box ratings with full arsenal coverage in this spot and has historically cleared this prop at a near 71% rate in similar road profiles, including a 25% home run clip. Mahle relies heavily on his fastball and has struggled with hard contact, particularly against left-handed hitters who have produced elevated launch rates and a .505 expected slugging over his recent sample. Kurtz’s current form is strong, posting elite contact metrics and impact production over his last stretch versus right-handed pitching.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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