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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.75 @ 4.25

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Cubs vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.75

-115

o6.5 -105

-1.5 +162

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.25

+102

u6.5 -105

+1.5 -180

Pittsburgh @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.29 @ 4.17

DET
DET logo
DET

Pirates vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.29

-108

o7.5 -125

+1.5 -200

DET logo
DET
DET

4.17

-106

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
NY Mets @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.37 @ 4.73

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Mets vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.37

-132

o7.5 -133

-1.5 +130

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.73

+115

u8.5 -125

+1.5 -141

Top Projection Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+181
Cincinnati @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.50 @ 4.01

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Reds vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.50

+116

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -190

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.01

-130

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Atlanta @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.34 @ 4.56

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Braves vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.34

-124

o8.0 -113

-1.5 +135

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.56

+106

u8.5 -122

+1.5 -157

Top Projection Otto Lopez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-125
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14 @ 3.80

KC
KC logo
KC

Guardians vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14

-136

o7.5 -112

-1.5 +127

KC logo
KC
KC

3.80

+120

u7.5 +100

+1.5 -136

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+224
Colorado @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.74 @ 5.04

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Rockies vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.74

+194

o7.5 -130

+1.5 -108

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.04

-200

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +100

Top Projection Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5+281
St. Louis @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.69 @ 4.17

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Cardinals vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.69

+151

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -129

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.17

-172

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+160
Texas @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.21 @ 3.61

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Rangers vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.21

-108

o7.5 -114

+1.5 -200

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.61

-105

u7.5 -103

-1.5 +150

Houston @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

6.33 @ 5.25

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Astros vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

6.33

-170

o8.5 -109

-1.5 +102

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.25

+146

u8.5 -108

+1.5 -120

Arizona @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.23 @ 4.20

SD
SD logo
SD

Diamondbacks vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.23

+116

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -190

SD logo
SD
SD

4.20

-130

u7.5 -112

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
LA Angels @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.32 @ 3.56

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Angels vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.32

+115

o6.5 -135

+1.5 -200

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.56

-130

u7.0 -118

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+190)
o1.5+200
LA Dodgers @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.92 @ 2.53

SF
SF logo
SF

Dodgers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.92

-375

o7.5 +110

-2.5 -115

SF logo
SF
SF

2.53

+305

u7.5 -120

+2.5 +110

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+223)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Gamboa in today's matchup.. Using Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. Carson Kelly has shown good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.. Extreme flyball batters like Wilyer Abreu are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Coby Mayo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+214)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brendan Beck throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.. Dylan Beavers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Dylan Beavers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Home Runs (+760)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in the game for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Tampa Bay's #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. In the past two weeks, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.1% down to 0%.
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total Hits
BC
Brett Callahan u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brett Callahan is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Brett Callahan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 51% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Comerica Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
View 10 Picks
New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage in today's game.. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14% to 19.4%.
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage in today's game.. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14% to 19.4%.
View 9 Picks
Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in the league.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
View 5 Picks
Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL @ Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
View 8 Picks
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Vasile logo
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
View 11 Picks
Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+274)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this season (21.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° angle last year.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the majors's 14th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Grading out in the 100th percentile for power, Hunter Goodman has paced 41.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
View 10 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total Hits
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.. The weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this year (12°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° mark last year.. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Bauers has been lucky given the .051 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.
View 8 Picks
Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX @ Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
View 4 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.

Strikeouts Thrown
Brandon Pfaadt logo
Brandon Pfaadt o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 4.36
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park ranks as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing bats today.. Brandon Pfaadt's 2502-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.. Considering the 1.2 difference between Brandon Pfaadt's 6.10 K/9 and his 7.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in the future.
View 7 Picks
Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 13.7% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 3.02 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
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Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Marcelo Mayer logo
Marcelo Mayer o0.5 Total RBIs (+450)
Projection 0.24
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Marcelo Mayer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.