How about a double-dinger Tuesday?
Things have been very profitable here over the last three weeks with a solid 7-14 SU run for +17 units. Let's smack some four-baggers and hit the MLB player props.
Daulton Varsho has come back from injury in great form and has an elite home run matchup today, while Luis Garcia is trying to go yard in every game vs. the Phillies, and might have his best chance today vs. Aaron Nola.
These are my favorite home run props for Wednesday, June 24.
Best MLB home run props today
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Daulton Varsho
Luis Garcia
Home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+494)
All Daulton Varsho has done since returning to the lineup is hit two home runs and a pair of doubles in three games.
He racked up three extra-base hits against Houston yesterday, and while it's a small sample, his BlastContact numbers rank among the Top 20 in baseball over the last two weeks.
His matchup today might be the best he's had since returning.
He gets right-hander Mike Burrows, who has allowed 18 home runs this season, was recently moved back into the rotation, and has been crushed by left-handed hitters to the tune of a .320 batting average. Twelve of those 18 home runs allowed have come against lefties.
Burrows owns the 21st-worst HR/FB rate in baseball over the last 30 days and doesn't generate many groundballs, carrying just a 38% groundball rate.
I'd play this down to +420.
- Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, Space City Home Network
Home run pick: Luis Garcia (+550)
Luis Garcia has gone deep in each game of this series against the Phillies, which has already produced five homers last night and three more in the opener.
Home runs have accounted for 15 total runs through the first two games. Three of Garcia's last four hits have left the yard. He is locked in right now and gets another great matchup and setting today.
There is a slight wind blowing out to right field again, which has helped the left-handed bats throughout this series.
Aaron Nola still looks like he's searching for answers. He owns the 28th-worst HR/FB rate among MLB starters over the last 30 days and has allowed multiple home runs in back-to-back starts. His HR/9 is worse on the road, and left-handed hitters have tagged him for a .909 OPS.
Everything lines up for Garcia to stay hot.
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Nationals.TV, NBCSP
- HR picks: 19-119, -21.83 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
