Braves vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 24, 2026 , 10:14 AM ET • 4 min read

The Atlanta Braves are well-positioned to snap their three-game losing streak against the San Diego Padres.

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
ATL
69 %
SD
31 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Atlanta -135 Atlanta -135
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Atlanta Braves MLB Michael Harris II
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Atlanta Braves center fielder Michael Harris II.

The Atlanta Braves are -130 favorites to snap their three-game losing streak on Wednesday, June 24.

My Braves vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks see plenty of value in backing Atlanta in a low-scoring affair against one of the league's worst offenses.

Who will win Braves vs Padres today: Braves moneyline (-135)

The Atlanta Braves have a wonderful matchup against JP Sears, who will be making his first start of the season for the San Diego Padres.

He posted a 5.04 ERA last season while allowing 1.99 homers per nine innings. He struggled mightily to limit power, and that is a recipe for disaster against the Braves.

Atlanta sits third in home runs, eighth in SLG, and ninth in ISO when facing left-handed pitching. 

The Braves will make it difficult on the Padres and their anemic offense to keep up.

Back Atlanta to -150.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Padres will struggle to produce against Martin Perez, who ranks in the 85th percentile in Pitcher Run Value.

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Braves vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-110)

The Padres own a league-worst .285 OBP against left-handed pitching. They don’t hit for average, they don’t draw walks, and they lack power to cash in even when able to generate traffic.

Martin Perez has conceded two runs or fewer in 11 of 14 starts, and this is a great spot for him to do so again.

While the Braves possess a lot of power vs. lefties, they sit 19th in OBP. They are also playing in one of the more pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball, which could take away from some of their home run potential.

Play the Under to -120.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 40-29, +3.0 units
  • Over/Under bets: 36-29-4, +3.59 units

Braves vs Padres weather

Temperatures are expected to hover in the low 70s with wind blowing side-to-side. No real boost for hitters or pitchers.

Braves vs Padres odds

  • Moneyline: Braves -130 | Padres +110
  • Run line: Braves -1.5 (+130) | Padres +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)

Braves vs Padres trend

San Diego has hit the Under in 16 of its last 23 home games (+8.35 units, 33% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Padres.

How to watch Braves vs Padres and game info

Location Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date Wednesday, June 24, 2026
First pitch 8:40 p.m. ET
TV BravesVision, Padres.TV
Braves starting pitcher Martin Perez
(6-3, 2.78 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher JP Sears
(2025: 2-2, 5.47 ERA)

Braves vs Padres latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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