Welcome in to Wednesday's starting pitcher props & best bets for June 24!
We are attacking pitchers from all angles today, targeting strikeout Overs, Unders, and walk props across the MLB player props board.
There are a handful of intriguing spots on this slate, so let’s dig in and find some winners, anchored by the Rhett Lowder walk prop.
Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Jose Soriano |
Over 6.5 strikeouts | -107 |
 Matthew Liberatore |
Under 3.5 strikeouts | -152 |
 Rhett Lowder |
Over 2.5 walks | +127 |
Strikeout prop: Jose Soriano Over 6.5 strikeouts (-107)
I miss when Los Angeles Angels starter Jose Soriano was in the Cy Young odds conversation, but that ship has seemingly sailed.
Still, he finds himself in a solid spot to shove against the Baltimore Orioles, who have maintained a swing-happy offense all season long.
Over their last six games, the Orioles carry a 27% strikeout rate. Over the last 12, that number sits at 26.7%. According to Batters-Box, this lineup features nine bats above the league strikeout rate in the current season data.
Soriano has posted a 28% strikeout rate at home this season, along with a 30.7% called strike plus whiff rate. When sporting an elite rating, the right-hander clears 6+ strikeouts 50% of the time, and 7+ strikeouts 36.36% of the time.
- Time: 4:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ABTV, MASN
Strikeout prop: Matthew Liberatore Under 3.5 strikeouts (-152)
I am already fading Matthew Liberatore this evening by backing Ketel Marte in the MLB player prop picks, so why not also take a look at the Under on his strikeouts?
The Arizona Diamondbacks do not feature a single hitter above league average in strikeout rate per Batters-Box. Liberatore also draws one of the weakest matchup strikeout environments on the slate, ranking near the bottom in opponent K profile.
Even with Arizona showing a slight cold stretch overall, the strikeout numbers remain strong. They have stayed Under 18% in strikeout rate over their last six, 12, and 21-game samples. Against left handed pitching this season, they are sitting at just a 7.8% strikeout rate as a team.
This is a very strong contact profile against southpaws, which only reinforces the case to continue fading Liberatore in this spot.
- Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CARD, ARID
Walks prop: Rhett Lowder Over 2.5 walks (+127)
Yep, we're attacking your mom's favorite country singer, Rhett Lowder, as he finds himself in a vulnerable spot against one of the more patient offenses in baseball.
The Milwaukee Brewers own the second-highest walk rate on the road this season, sitting just north of 10%. Over their last 21 games, they rank first in baseball with a 10.7% walk rate.
This lineup also features seven hitters carrying at least a 7.7% walk rate over their last 60 at-bats against right-handed pitching.
On the other side, Lowder has battled command issues all season. Over his last five outings, he has handed out walks at nearly a 20% clip. While that number improves to 6.52% at home, he has still posted a 15.15% walk rate across his last three starts.
Hopefully the Brew Crew packed their best set of eyeballs for this one.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BREW, CINR
- Prop picks: 236-436-36, -7.5 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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