Chicago @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. With a reliable standard to study power, Matt Mervis's recent performance has been hot, achieving a 20% Barrel% in the last week.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #21 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. With its low altitude, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest levels in the majors, resulting in decreased offensive production. With a .282 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner grades out in the 12th percentile for offensive skills. Posting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year, Trea Turner has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. With its low altitude, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest levels in the majors, resulting in decreased offensive production. There has been a significant drop in Bryce Harper's launch angle this year, which now stands at -1.6°, compared to his 11.7° figure from last year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

In terms of his BABIP talent, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Edmundo Sosa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .240 BA falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Christopher Morel's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Christopher Morel has been hot of late, putting up a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trey Mancini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yan Gomes pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. From last year's 3.5%, Yan Gomes has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.3% this year.

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

When assessing his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Alec Bohm has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6.8% to 16.7%, showcasing notable gains in his performance.

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nico Hoerner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.