MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jun 26 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+282)
Projection 0.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jun 26 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Yordan Alvarez is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Detroit (#3-worst of all teams today).
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jun 26 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Curtis Mead will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Curtis Mead will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Jun 26 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Corey Seager will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today's game.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today's game.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Kyle Manzardo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Kyle Manzardo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jun 26 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Amed Rosario logo
Amed Rosario u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jun 26 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+820)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mitch Spence struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Montgomery.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Braden Montgomery will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Mitch Spence in this game.. Braden Montgomery has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Braden Montgomery will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Jun 26 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+172)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jun 26 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jun 26 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Because of Dustin May's large platoon split, Owen Caissie will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Owen Caissie has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (34.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Caissie.. Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Jun 26 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. The Athletics infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Tyler Soderstrom will have the handedness advantage over Walbert Urena today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Jun 26 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 4 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 7 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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