MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 2 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

It’s past time for Ryan Weathers to come down to earth. His xERA of 4.63 is nearly a full run and a half over his actual. What’s pushing that expected number the most is a poor hard-hit rate and barrel rate that both rank in the Bottom 25 percentile of the sport. This Orioles lineup isn’t overwhelming with power, but the likes of Pete Alonso, Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman should still be enough to punish here. 

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-163)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Kyle Bradish's arsenal is a problem against this New York Yankees lineup. His fastball, breaking ball, and overall pitching run value all grade in the Bottom 15th percentile, and his walk rate sits in the 24th percentile, meaning he is going to put runners on base. That's a problem against such a potent offense.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, May 2 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. Target Field has the 5th-highest fences among all stadiums.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-driest conditions on the slate at 28%.. Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game.. Byron Buxton has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Myles Straw logo
Myles Straw o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage over Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Compared to last year, Myles Straw has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.9% to 51.2% this season.. Sporting a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Myles Straw is positioned in the 77th percentile.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 2 • 2:20 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Hits
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+134)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Carson Kelly will not have the upper hand in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Rhett Lowder struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Matt McLain has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark.. Matt McLain's launch angle this season (22.3°) is a considerable increase over his 16.2° figure last season.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-lowest humidity of all games today at 30%.. From last season to this one, Curtis Mead's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45% to 35.3%.. In the past two weeks, Curtis Mead's 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.3%.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Extreme groundball hitters like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.. James Wood will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Carlos Cortes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Carlos Cortes has been lucky this year, notching a .477 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .165 gap.
Total Hits
Jeff McNeil logo
Jeff McNeil u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest fences in MLB — generally bad for HRs.. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph figure last year has fallen to 83.6-mph.. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 13.9%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 2 • 4:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 98.7-mph.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, May 2 • 6:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Cedric Mullins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today.. Rafael Devers will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day.. Roki Sasaki will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.7°, Jordan Walker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) over the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.208) implies that Jordan Walker has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.. In notching a .273 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker has performed in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.
Total Hits
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson u0.5 Total Hits (+203)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.2°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.6°) over the past 14 days.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .287 actual batting average.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, May 2 • 8:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mauricio Dubon logo
Mauricio Dubon o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. In comparison to his 84.8-mph average last year, Mauricio Dubon's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.2 mph.. In the past week's worth of games, Mauricio Dubon's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coors Field grades out as the #1 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 2 • 8:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ramon Laureano logo
Ramon Laureano o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15% to 18.2%.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 2 • 9:38 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. 21% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #3 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Josh Lowe has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Josh Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 47.7% to 30.2%.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Extreme groundball bats like Mike Trout are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Mike Trout will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, May 2 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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