MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

CHC Fri, Jun 19 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.59

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +154

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Matt Shaw o1.5 Total Bases (+215)

Projection 1.27

Best Odds

o1.5 +215

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +211

o1.5 +215

o1.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Matt Shaw will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+215 at bet365

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CHW @

DET Fri, Jun 19 • 6:40 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.49

Best Odds

o0.5 +284

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +284

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +175

As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

+284 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+202)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +208

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +210

+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CIN @

NYY Fri, Jun 19 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+225)

Projection 1.35

Best Odds

o1.5 +225

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +209

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +225

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

+225 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +234

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +234

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +215

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as MLB's 20th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

+234 at DraftKings

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WAS @

TB Fri, Jun 19 • 7:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.84

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +162

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +170

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Luis Garcia Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Griffin Jax.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. today.

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Cedric Mullins o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -110

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

+105 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

MIL @

ATL Fri, Jun 19 • 7:15 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +186

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +174

o0.5 +170

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+200 at bet365

Total Bases

Joey Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+250)

Projection 1.35

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 24 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +211

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +210

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joey Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Martin Perez in today's game.. Joey Ortiz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+250 at bet365

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SD @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Fri, Jun 19 • 8:05 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)

Projection 0.4

Best Odds

o0.5 +250

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +213

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +188

o0.5 +185

As it relates to his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

+250 at bet365

Total RBIs

Rodolfo Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+430)

Projection 0.27

Best Odds

o0.5 +430

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +388

o0.5 +330

o0.5 +430

View 4 Picks

CLE @

HOU Fri, Jun 19 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Tatsuya Imai o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)

Projection 5.84

Best Odds

o4.5 -134

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 -140

o4.5 -134

o4.5 -137

o4.5 -140

Throwing 97.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Tatsuya Imai checks in at the 97th percentile.. The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Petey Halpin, Rhys Hoskins, David Fry).. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tatsuya Imai will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

-134 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.55

Best Odds

o1.5 +162

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +162

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +160

Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Altuve is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+162 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

STL @

KC Fri, Jun 19 • 8:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-110)

Projection 2.11

Best Odds

o1.5 -110

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -110

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today.

-110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +149

o0.5 +150

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's game.

+185 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PIT @

COL Fri, Jun 19 • 8:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

TJ Rumfield o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +157

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +135

T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. T.J. Rumfield will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.. T.J. Rumfield will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+157 at DraftKings

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-200)

Projection 3.12

Best Odds

o1.5 -165

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -185

o1.5 -165

o1.5 -200

o1.5 -180

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

-165 at bet365

View 2 Picks

LAA @

ATH Fri, Jun 19 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.52

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -130

o1.5 +100

When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's game.

+100 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.35

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Zach Neto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIN @

AZ Fri, Jun 19 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +102

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.

+110 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

o0.5 +180

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +170

When assessing his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand today.. Kody Clemens may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

+180 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

BOS @

SEA Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +290

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +281

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +250

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

+290 at bet365

Total Bases

Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+198)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +198

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +198

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +170

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+198 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

BAL @

LAD Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +121

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +120

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.

+121 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+116)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +116

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Trey Gibson throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage today.

+116 at DraftKings

View 3 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 7 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 7 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 12 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 12 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o4.5 -526

Pick made: 14 hours ago

o4.5 -670

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -102

o4.5 -699

o4.5 -654

o4.5 -526

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 15 hours ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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