MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Apr 26 • 1:35 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. 10% of the time that Jeremiah Jackson has started against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward u1.5 Total Bases (-191)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.. Taylor Ward has been lucky this year, compiling a .387 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .038 disparity.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Apr 26 • 1:35 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Matt Olson has hit all seven of his dingers in the last 22 games, carrying a ridiculous 1.034 OPS in April.

Olson has hit five of his homers vs. righties and will enjoy the platoon advantage today against Phillies starter Aaron Nola, who has allowed four homers in five starts.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Atlanta Braves logo u8.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Nola has an ERA of 5.06 but his FIP, which predicts future ERA, is a full run lower. That, and a high BABIP (.347) indicates that he’s been a victim of bad luck so far this season. 

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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Apr 26 • 1:37 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

The Blue Jays have been rocked by key injuries during the first month of the season, and that’s made Clement’s consistency at the plate even more valuable. With his .324 batting average and ability to make contact, he’s earned a spot up the order – and he’ll get pitches to hit as long as he’s slotted ahead of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Clement brings a nine-game hit streak into today’s clash with the Cleveland Guardians, and he’s clubbed seven doubles in that span.

Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho logo Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Slade Cecconi has surrendered five home runs in as many starts this season — three of which have come off his four-seam fastball, which has a 58.1% hard hit rate against it. Enter Daulton Varsho. The Jays outfielder crushes the four-seamer off righties with a 69% hard-hit rate and .294 average against the pitch.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Apr 26 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Nolan McLean logo Nolan McLean o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

As New York tries to climb out of its 9-17 hole, McLean is a good choice to lead the charge. He’s gone past this O/U number in four of his five starts this year, and he racked up 10 Ks in Tuesday’s loss to the Minnesota Twins. McLean enters with a 2.67 ERA and 0.76 WHIP, and he’ll pose major problems here for a Rockies lineup that struck out 15 times against New York on Friday.

Total Hits
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+189)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citi Field projects as the #29 venue in MLB for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.. Luis Robert Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.2% rate last season has dropped to 1.6% this year.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Apr 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wenceel Perez logo
Wenceel Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+214)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Wenceel Perez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last year's 91-mph figure.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Apr 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell u0.5 Total Hits (+181)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Bell's BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Griffin Jax.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today's matchup.. In the last week, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Bell's BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball hitters like Josh Bell usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Griffin Jax.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell in today's matchup.. In the last week, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Apr 26 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

We were unfortunate to hit the Under yesterday, with the game tied at 3-3 heading into extra innings. That said, we take that route again today.


Harrison is getting strikeouts on a consistent basis, an area where the top of Pittsburgh’s lineup has struggled at times. 


The Pirates rank sixth in strikeout rate over the past two weeks, which has negated their high BABIP. They’re also right at 100 in wRC+ in that span.


The Brewers have scored just nine runs in their last four games, and their struggles at the plate will help keep this score low.  

Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (+107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Carmen Mlodzinski takes the bump for the Pirates, and he’s shown an improvement in his arsenal. 


His split-finger usage has nearly doubled from last year, a key reason he’s ranked in the 91st percentile in barrel rate.


Mlodzinski faces a Brewers lineup that’s posted a .074 ISO and a 76 wRC+ over the last two weeks, ranking dead-last in both metrics.


Kyle Harrison is prime for some regression, given his ERA of 3.06 is far exceeding his 4.41 xERA.


Pittsburgh’s bullpen has the fourth-best xERA the past two weeks and will close out the win. 

 

View 12 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Apr 26 • 2:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+240)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Aaron Judge is already up to nine dingers this season and is facing an Astros pitching staff that can't keep the ball in the park.

Houston has allowed 42 dingers, the second most in the majors, while its bullpen has given up an MLB-worst 25 home runs and holds a collective 6.19 ERA.

Total
New York Yankees logo Houston Astros logo o9.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Both starters are due for regression, and totals set at 9.5 have a way of finding the Over when the bill comes due. 

The Over is 7-2-1 across the past 10 H2H meetings, and yesterday's 8-3 final shows this matchup still has teeth. Trust the trend.

 

View 13 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Apr 26 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami logo Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+290)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Munetaka Murakami is tied for the MLB lead with 11 home runs, including six in his last eight games. 

Nationals starter Foster Griffin has given up five homers in five games, including two last time out. Washington has also allowed 48 home runs – more than any other team – with 24 of those given up by the bullpen.

Total Hits
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u0.5 Total Hits (+144)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 20th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-coldest weather of all games today at 55°.. Batting from the same side that Foster Griffin throws from, Colson Montgomery will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery has been lucky this year, posting a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .051 difference.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Apr 26 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cal Raleigh today.. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 39% to 24.6%.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game... and the cherry on top, Hancock has a large platoon split.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Apr 26 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carlos Cortes's BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Carlos Cortes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Cortes in today's game.. Putting up a 0.5° launch angle in the past week suggests that Carlos Cortes has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+189)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Given Kumar Rocker's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Lawrence Butler has been unlucky this year, compiling a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .077 gap.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 26 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Adrian Del Castillo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an edge in today's game.. Adrian Del Castillo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Adrian Del Castillo has been very consistent with his in recent games, notching a 34.6° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jake Cronenworth is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game considering none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.. Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year, notching a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .075 gap.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Apr 26 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Landen Roupp logo Landen Roupp o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

The San Francisco Giants are off to a wobbly 12-15 start, but Landen Roupp has taken the ball in four of those wins, and this prop feels like good value at plus odds today against the Miami Marlins. Roupp has finished with 6+ strikeouts in four of his five outings this season, and he outpitched Yoshinobu Yamamoto earlier this week while holding the stacked L.A. Dodgers lineup to just one hit through five innings of work.

Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Oracle Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Extreme groundball hitters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Meyer.
View 11 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Apr 26 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Total Bases
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Will Smith projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Apr 26 • 4:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mark Vientos has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed base hits.. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Considering Chase Dollander's large platoon split, Mark Vientos will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.. Mark Vientos has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 85.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Total Hits
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed base hits.. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Chase Dollander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert Jr. in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Dollander's large platoon split.. Luis Robert Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.2% rate last season has decreased to 1.6% this year.. Luis Robert Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 13.7% to 9.2%.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, Apr 26 • 7:20 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Angels logo Kansas City Royals logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

The Angels' aggressive plate approach should actually work to their advantage here, given the pitching dynamics I’ve outlined above. Conversely, the Royals boast a disciplined order with a 29% chase rate, sitting comfortably below the league average. This suggests Reid Detmers won't find much success baiting them out of the zone. 

Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Seth Lugo ranks in the bottom 30th percentile of baseball in chase rate and whiff rate, meaning the things that usually present problems for this LAA lineup won’t be present. He also ranks well below league average in barrel rate. Quietly, this Angels lineup has raked, ranking 6th in the MLB in barrel rate.

View 15 Picks

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