MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's CF fences are the 2nd-deepest.. As it relates to plate discipline, Colt Keith's talent is quite weak, sporting a 3.75 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 15th percentile.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Given Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson today... and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 37.2% on the season to 16.7% in the last 14 days.. Dylan Crews has recorded a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+900)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge today.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. In the past 7 days, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 17.6%.. Daulton Varsho's launch angle lately (21° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 14.6° seasonal mark.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the last week, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 22.2%.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 38.9% over the last week.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.2°) is significantly better than his 14.2° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Kyle Stowers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.5° angle over the past two weeks.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Brian Keller in today's matchup.. Austin Wells may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.. Hitting from the opposite that Brian Keller throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge today.. Ryan McMahon may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.. Austin Riley has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the last week.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Beavers will hold that advantage today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Over the past 7 days, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.3% down to 9.1%.. Munetaka Murakami has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph dropping to 90.6-mph over the past two weeks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive ability to be a .344, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .036 gap between that figure and his actual .380 wOBA.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.15
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (43.1% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Heim today.. Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 88.8-mph.. In the past two weeks, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.8 mph to 85.3 mph.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Raley is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Burger has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst park in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jake Burger will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in today's game.. Shohei Ohtani has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+227)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .220 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Luis Robert Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115.8 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Strikeouts Thrown
Hunter Greene logo
Hunter Greene u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
Projection 5.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The St. Louis Cardinals (19 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters on the slate today.. Projected catcher Tyler Stephenson projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst field in the majors for strikeouts.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Hunter Greene (40.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in St. Louis's projected lineup.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.