The New York Yankees beat the Colorado Rockies by multiple runs in the first two games of this series, and my Rockies vs. Yankees predictions expect more of the same in the finale.
New York's power should be front and center against Ryan Feltner, who bleeds home runs and will get no help from the favorable conditions at Yankee Stadium.
Let's break it all down with my MLB picks before first pitch at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Who will win Rockies vs Yankees today: Yankees -1.5 (58%)
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Ryan Feltner is one of the most hittable pitchers in the majors, ranking in the second percentile in xERA.
Pitching a healthy chunk of games at Coors Field hasn’t helped his cause but, unfortunately for Feltner, playing in warm weather at Yankee Stadium isn’t much better.
Feltner has posted a 5.91 ERA and allowed 1.86 HR/9 in hitter-friendly conditions. Things are unlikely to go well for him against a New York Yankees squad sitting third in ISO vs. right-handed pitching.
Max Fried should get a ton of run support, making the Yankees run line a buy up to 59%.
COVERS INTEL: Ryan Feltner's 11th percentile barrel rate will get him into trouble against a powerful Yankees attack.
Rockies vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (53%)
Feltner has allowed nearly two baserunners per inning over the last 30 days. He's giving up a ton of traffic, and the Yankees certainly have the power to cash in.
They sit fifth in homers against righties — and third at home — despite playing a ton of games without Aaron Judge. Luis Garcia Jr. is also still relatively new to the scene and adds to their pop.
The Colorado Rockies quietly rank eighth in road wOBA vs. southpaws the past two months, and could cause headaches for Fried.
Play to 55%.
Rockies vs Yankees home run prediction: Aaron Judge (32%)
Aaron Judge hasn’t left the park since returning from injury, and this is the perfect storm for that to happen. Hot weather and wind blowing out create a great environment for homers, with a 22% boost projected for this game.
Judge also shines against Feltner’s pitch mix. Isolating the three pitches he uses at least 20% of the time facing righties, Judge owns a .270 ISO and a remarkably high 21.3% barrel rate. All rise!
- ML/RL bets: 106-92, -7.4 units
- Over/Under bets: 101-91-6, -2.61 units
Rockies vs Yankees weather
The bats will see a big boost with temperatures in the 80s and winds blowing out in an already hitter-friendly ballpark.
Rockies vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Rockies 26% | Yankees 75%
- Run line: Rockies +2.5 (55%) | Yankees -2.5 (45%)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (53%) | Under 8.5 (48%)
Rockies vs Yankees trend
The Yankees have covered the run line in 15 of their last 22 games for +11.15 units and a 42% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Yankees.
How to watch Rockies vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Thursday, September 10, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | Rockies.TV, YES |
| Rockies starting pitcher | Ryan Feltner (5-9, 5.91 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Max Fried (4-4, 2.73 ERA) |
Rockies vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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