MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TB @

BOS Fri, Jul 17 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +222

Pick made: 24 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +222

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +200

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

+222 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Anthony Seigler u0.5 Total Hits (+165)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +165

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +146

u0.5 +165

u0.5 +160

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-least humid conditions of all games today at 35%.

+165 at bet365

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LAD @

NYY Fri, Jul 17 • 7:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+105)

Best Odds

o9.0 -120

Pick made: 9 hours ago

o9.0 -120

o9.5 -115

o9.0 -120

o9.5 +100

I’m playing the Over because both offenses have a clear matchup path. Sasaki’s fastball and barrel issues give New York a real chance to do damage early, even without Aaron Judge

Gerritt Cole is the better starter, but this is still the Dodgers’ lineup. And he hasn't been Vintage Cole either. LA can punish his elevated-contact profile, with Cole allowing a 9.2% barrel rate and 40.3% hard-hit rate this season. I projected 10.1 and would play this to -115.

Moneyline

NYY (+101)

Best Odds

-102

Pick made: 9 hours ago

-105

-110

-102

-105

If the New York Yankees are going to make a charge in the AL East, there's no better time than now against the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. I’m playing them down to -110.

Roki Sasaki’s biggest flaw runs into New York’s best offensive path. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate and 44.9% hard-hit rate, and his four-seamer has been hit for a .606 SLG. These are all things the Yankees excel at, arriving at this game with the highest barrel rate in baseball, the third-highest hard-hit rate, and several strong hitters against the heater.

View 12 Picks

PIT @

CLE Fri, Jul 17 • 7:10 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+114)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +114

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +105

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game.. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+114 at DraftKings

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111)

Projection 2.09

Best Odds

o1.5 -111

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -111

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -118

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Chase DeLauter will have an edge today.. Chase DeLauter has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Chase DeLauter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

-111 at DraftKings

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total Home Runs (+590)

Projection 0.22

Best Odds

o0.5 +590

Pick made: 48 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +590

o0.5 +500

o0.5 +450

o0.5 +425

o0.5 +475

o0.5 +500

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Austin Riley has a ton of pop (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Riley.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

+590 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +156

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Jake Burger will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CHW @

TOR Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Projection 0.74

Best Odds

u1.5 -154

Pick made: 34 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -166

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -154

u1.5 -165

The weather forecast expects the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

-154 at Caesars

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.74

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +150

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

MIL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +160

As it relates to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Heriberto Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+160 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Joey Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+273)

Projection 1.27

Best Odds

o1.5 +273

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +273

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +240

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+273 at DraftKings

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MIN @

CHC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-119)

Projection 2.74

Best Odds

o1.5 -119

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -119

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -134

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

-119 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+108)

Projection 2.21

Best Odds

o1.5 +108

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +101

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Colin Rea in this game.

+108 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

SD @

KC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +112

Pick made: 48 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

+112 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 2.28

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 30 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -111

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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BAL @

HOU Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +164

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+136)

Projection 1.8

Best Odds

o1.5 +136

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +136

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +130

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

+136 at DraftKings

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CIN @

COL Fri, Jul 17 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

o0.5 +115

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +113

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +112

o0.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Gabriel Hughes.

+115 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Troy Johnston o1.5 Total Bases (+147)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +147

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Troy Johnston will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's game.

+147 at DraftKings

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DET @

LAA Fri, Jul 17 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +138

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +135

Matt Vierling is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Matt Vierling will have an edge in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

+138 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+134)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +134

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +130

When estimating his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+134 at DraftKings

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WAS @

ATH Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +135

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.

+135 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +110

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today.

+115 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

STL @

AZ Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Masyn Winn o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +136

o1.5 +145

Total RBIs

JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

o0.5 +195

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +191

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. JJ Wetherholt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

+195 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SF @

SEA Fri, Jul 17 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Drew Cavanaugh o1.5 Total Bases (+330)

Projection 1.24

Best Odds

o1.5 +330

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +311

o1.5 +330

o1.5 +290

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Drew Cavanaugh will have an advantage in today's game.

+330 at bet365

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+180)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +166

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +170

Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Landen Roupp in today's game.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

+180 at bet365

View 10 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 25 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 25 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 28 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 28 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.