The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies kick off the second half of the season tonight, and I've found value in the MLB player props.
Tonight's Mets vs. Phillies props include J.T. Realmuto, Juan Soto, and Bryson Stott.
Read more in our Mets vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, July 16.
Mets vs Phillies props for July 16
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 total bases |
+155 |
 Juan Soto to hit a home run |
+220 |
| Bryson Stott Over 0.5 singles |
-120 |
Mets vs Phillies player prop picks
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 total bases (+155)
J.T. Realmuto may be hitting just .250 over his last six games, but he's showcasing gap-to-gap power. The catcher has a .250 ISO during that span, and a 42.9% hard-hit rate.
Realmuto has cashed the Over in total bases in three of his last four contests, and he has multi-base hits in back-to-back games.
New York Mets starter Christian Scott has a 4.90 FIP over the last month, and he's allowed a 46.7% hard-hit rate over his last three outings. He's also given up 2.03 HR/9 over that span.
I'll play this pick up to +100.
Juan Soto to hit a home run (+220)
I don't like to lean into the matchup too much, but it's hard to ignore here.
Juan Soto has faced Aaron Nola 45 times and recorded 12 hits. Five of those hits have been home runs, so he's consistently shown power against Nola.
The right-hander is also struggling to limit the long ball. Over the last month, Nola has allowed 2.61 HR/9 while posting a 5.65 FIP.
Soto owns a .302 ISO over the last two weeks, and he's gone deep four times in his last 13 games while posting an impressive 16.7% barrel rate. If Nola continues to make mistakes, Soto could very well punish him.
I'll play this pick up to +200.
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 singles (-120)
Bryson Stott is a base-knock type of hitter, and he was finding a rhythm before the All-Star break. The infielder has four hits across his last two games, and three of those were singles.
Stott has a .291 xBA across his previous seven games, and again, Scott has been vulnerable to hard contact lately. His primary offering is the four-seamer, and Stott owns a 46.9% hard-hit rate against the fastball this season.
I'll play this pick up to -140.
How to watch Mets vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Thursday, July 16, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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