MLB Picks

Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Vaughn Grissom will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Spencer Jones is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Spencer Jones has a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Jones in today's matchup.

Paul Skenes has electric stuff, and this matchup against the Colorado Rockies sets up perfectly for a dominant outing. The Pirates ace owns a 2.36 ERA with 46 strikeouts in 42 innings, and Colorado strikes out more than any team in baseball. The Rockies are averaging over 12 Ks across their last three games, giving Skenes strong value to clear this number.

Elly De La Cruz is red-hot at the plate, batting .367 over the last week while recording three straight multi-hit performances. The Reds star also crushed Houston for seven hits in the previous series. He now faces struggling veteran Miles Mikolas, who owns an ERA above seven. De La Cruz is batting .333 against Mikolas lifetime and thrives at home with a .346 average.

With the Phillies heating up at the plate, I’m taking the Over tonight. It’s 7-3 in the visitors’ past 10 outings, and they scored 22 runs in the weekend series against the Colorado Rockies. That included four homers from Kyle Schwarber, with Alec Bohm and Harper also joining the party.

Philadelphia has also finished with 9+ hits in five of its last six games, so watch for solid production here, with Boston expected to use an opener before turning things over to Brayan Bello. The Red Sox offense is the biggest cause for pause here, but the possible return of Willson Contreras here would give the lineup a boost.

When it comes to his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

Ozzie Albies's BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Colin Rea. Among every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive talent to be a .315, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .053 deviation between that figure and his actual .368 wOBA.. Sporting a .283 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 12th percentile for offensive skills.

Bobby Witt Jr. at +400 to hit a home run with the wind blowing out to his pull side at Rate Field at 18 mph? Yeah, I’ll gladly hit the button on that number. Erick Fedde has allowed five home runs over his last two starts, and seven of the eight home runs he’s given up this season have come against right-handed hitters. Witt also has notable reverse splits when it comes to power. Twenty-two of the 23 home runs he hit last season came against right-handed pitching. On top of that, Witt has been swinging a hot bat lately, and at +400, this is simply too good of a price to pass up.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 5th-best venue in the league for LHB home runs.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Eury Pérez, when right, has elite stuff and flashes true ace potential. The issue right now is that he doesn’t look fully locked in, and when he struggles, things can unravel quickly. In his last start against the Baltimore Orioles, Pérez walked five batters, which is a strong indication that he’s fighting his command at the moment. That’s something the Minnesota Twins are well-positioned to exploit. Minnesota’s lineup is anchored by experienced hitters like Josh Bell and Byron Buxton, who should have the discipline to stay patient against Pérez, work counts, and wait for pitches they can drive—or simply take their walks. The Twins are trading around -107 on the moneyline, but I make them closer to -135 favorites in this matchup.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Ranking in the 18th percentile, Corey Seager has notched a .201 batting average this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto continues to shine atop the Dodgers rotation, striking out 40 hitters in 43.2 innings this season. The Japanese right-hander has cashed this prop in three of his last four starts, including an eight-strikeout performance against Houston last time out. Yamamoto already fanned seven Giants earlier this season, and San Francisco strikes out significantly more often on the road.

If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.

Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.