MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIA @

PHI Mon, Jun 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+260)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +260

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +265

Joe Mack has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Joe Mack will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

+265 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 2.03

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +120

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

KC @

WAS Mon, Jun 15 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+110)

Best Odds

o9.0 -114

Pick made: 9 hours ago

o9.0 -114

o9.0 -115

The Nationals continue to be one of baseball's best Over teams at 44-25-3, thanks to them scoring the most runs in MLB while boasting the fourth-highest team ERA. The Royals only need a few runs to contribute to our vaunted number here, and I like them to break through against Washington's subpar pitching staff. Even if starter Andrew Alvarez has a halfway decent 3.70 ERA, his expected ERA is 4.76, and his hard-hit rate sits in the 11th percentile. He's a ticking time bomb.

Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+130 at bet365

View 11 Picks

NYM @

CIN Mon, Jun 15 • 7:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

CIN (-134)

Best Odds

-130

Pick made: 9 hours ago

-143

-150

-142

-140

-130

Chase Burns has developed into a legitimate ace, and while I lean toward the Under here, I prefer taking the Reds to ride the right-hander to victory, especially if he keeps the runs off the board as I expect. The Mets have been scoring a bit more of late, but they've also been held to two or fewer runs four times in their last eight games.

Total Bases

Edwin Arroyo o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +232

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +232

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Edwin Arroyo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best field in the game for LHB home runs.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Edwin Arroyo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+232 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

SD @

STL Mon, Jun 15 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+120 at bet365

Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.5

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +130

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

+170 at bet365

View 10 Picks

COL @

CHC Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-125)

Projection 2.3

Best Odds

o1.5 -125

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -133

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -160

o1.5 -134

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.

-125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+114)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 18th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Hunter Goodman will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIN @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Joc Pederson o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)

Projection 0.44

Best Odds

o0.5 +255

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +255

Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Paredes throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

+255 at bet365

Total RBIs

Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +155

Pick made: 37 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +155

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Mike Paredes throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+155 at bet365

View 3 Picks

DET @

HOU Mon, Jun 15 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-104)

Projection 2.4

Best Odds

o1.5 -104

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -104

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -109

o1.5 -110

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Troy Melton in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Detroit's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

-104 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

+120 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

LAA @

AZ Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +152

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +152

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +143

o0.5 +140

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Placing in the 83rd percentile for power, Mike Trout has paced 28.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

+152 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +157

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +152

o0.5 +150

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.

+157 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PIT @

ATH Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o10.5 (-118)

Best Odds

o10.5 -115

Pick made: 9 hours ago

o10.5 -117

o10.5 -115

o10.5 -120

o10.5 -115

o11.0 +100

While the A's aren't playing any more games at Las Vegas Stadium this season, let's not forget that Sutter Health Park is its own launching pad. No, the Pirates won't plate 23 runs as the Rockies did on Sunday, but they'll do their part. But I'm more interested in how Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom (and the A's other boppers) fare against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh bullpen behind him.

Total Bases

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 100°.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

TB @

LAD Mon, Jun 15 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +106

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+106 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Taylor Walls o1.5 Total Bases (+280)

Projection 1.19

Best Odds

o1.5 +280

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +233

o1.5 +280

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +235

The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+280 at bet365

View 10 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 3 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 3 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 8 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 8 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

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