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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
+118 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.10 |
-128 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +168
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following a win.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.94 |
-175 
|
o9.0 -114
|
-1.5 -110 
|
|
4.30 |
+158
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -102 
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Fishers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-124
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.98 |
+110 
|
u8.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -155
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0 in Giants last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
+165
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.95 |
-172
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +127
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a loss.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 home starts.
- Padres are 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+135
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.29 |
-150
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.12 |
+102
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+106
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -198
|
|
4.92 |
-120
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Stocks last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Over is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Junks last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+140
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.87 |
-155
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+180
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.72 |
-210
|
u9.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+206
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o9.0 -110
|
+4.0 -455
|
|
6.43 |
-240
|
u12.5 -500
|
-4.0 +275
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-118
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.72 |
+106
|
o7.0 -200
|
+2.5 -334
|
|
4.87 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +250
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+130
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.67 |
-125
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+150)
o2.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
-112
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.50 |
-104
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+116
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
4.51 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+240
|
o8.5 -114
|
+1.5 +112
|
|
5.80 |
-285
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 -125
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in Perezs last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in Wheelers last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 8-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene brings real home-run value with three long balls over his last six games and a .500 ISO during that span. His fly-ball profile lines up well against Matthews’ recent air-contact issues, while Minnesota’s bullpen also gives Greene another path if Matthews exits early.
Total
u8.5 (-105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is in great form, and both lineups have lacked consistent home-run power lately. Matthews’ homer issues are the main concern, but the bullpens have limited long balls, and Montero gives Detroit a stable enough starting point.
TOR
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Moneyline
ATH (+162)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Do the Jays deserve to be a bigger favorite today than yesterday, going from José Soriano to a bullpen day? This is still an offense that can't pull away from bad pitching, and now it has to get on a plane and head home to open a circled series against the Orioles. Braydon Fisher gets the start but will go one or two frames before likely giving the ball to Michael Lorenzen, Brendon Little, and/or Paul Sewald at some point. There is no good Toronto arm to piggyback and eat big innings. The Athletics are going with the same approach, but at least I'm getting 13 percentage points better than a 50% probability with them against the Jays. I just don't see this as a 63/37 game when both teams will be using a ton of arms and the Jays are in a tough schedule spot. This isn't much different than the Dylan Cease start price. I see this as 60/40 at best for Toronto.
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 field in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-101)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 40%.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+183)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Blade Tidwell in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Nolan Gorman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Justin Foscue o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Rangers are giving Foscue more opportunities to show off his power down the stretch, and he’s hit eight of his 11 homers off lefties for a mammoth .303 ISO. So, with Foscue also sporting a high-end 1.087 OPS during an active 13-for-37 run at the dish, he’s a prime target to leave the yard this afternoon.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Brandon Nimmo has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
Total Hits
Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.. Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 78.2-mph in the last week.. Based on Statcast metrics, Coby Mayo grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.. Posting a 4.38 K/BB rate this year, Coby Mayo has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.2% to 18.4%.
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering Robert Stock's large platoon split, Joe Mack will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joe Mack has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Joe Mack will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+118)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson in today's game.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo López in today's game.
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Konnor Griffin o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. Konnor Griffin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #6 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. This year, the hardest ball Konnor Griffin has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), checking in at the 90th percentile.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
