MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, May 22 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Carson Kelly is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Carson Kelly meets a tough challenge today.
Total Hits
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Isaac Paredes in today's matchup.. Typically, batters like Isaac Paredes who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jameson Taillon.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, May 22 • 6:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Wetherholt will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, JJ Bleday ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, May 22 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-108)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, May 22 • 7:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Spread
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR -1.5 (+134)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

While Bubba Chandler is struggling with control (36:30 K/BB ratio), Kevin Gausman remains in elite form, pacing the Blue Jays with a pitching run value that ranks in the 93rd percentile at Baseball Savant. Take Toronto to cover and land the first punch in this series.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This contest is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jarren Duran faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Ryan Kreidler logo
Ryan Kreidler u0.5 Total Hits (-104)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Kreidler's batting average skill is projected to be in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Kreidler is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. This contest is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Ryan Kreidler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
MJ Melendez logo
MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (-104)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
MJ Melendez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. In today's game, MJ Melendez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).. Extreme flyball batters like MJ Melendez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In today's matchup, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (78th percentile).
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, May 22 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Samuel Basallo is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Samuel Basallo will have the handedness advantage over Jack Flaherty today.. Samuel Basallo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Samuel Basallo will hold that advantage today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Logan Henderson today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 2.15
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, May 22 • 9:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo u0.5 Total Hits (+158)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
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