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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
-110 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.51 |
+105 
|
u9.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -160
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodons last 7 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodons last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts on grass.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
o0.5+1000
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+174 
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.76 |
-180
|
u8.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +120
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+208
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+132
|
o8.0 -108
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.12 |
-135
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155 
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 9-0 in Ashcrafts last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+126
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.62 |
-132
|
u7.5 -108 
|
-1.5 +163
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 9-0 in their last 9 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
-115
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.73 |
+108
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -150
|
St. Louis
- Under is 8-0-1 in Leahys last 9 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Leahys last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Leahys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Reds last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+210
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
5.49 |
-220
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 -107
|
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 11-1 in Marlins last 12 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.78 |
+153
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.88 |
-160
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
Arizona
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Kellys last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.80 |
+105
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -160
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
+125
|
o9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.99 |
-135
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a loss.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Henry Bolte u0.5 Total Hits (+225)
u0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.57 |
-125
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.89 |
+115
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -145
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Matthews' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
o0.5+177
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+140
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.47 |
-150
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +142
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Harrisons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+143
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.31 |
-150
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
o0.5+177
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+150
|
o8.0 -129
|
+2.0 -230
|
|
5.43 |
-157
|
u8.5 +100
|
-2.0 +175
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+150
|
o9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.17 |
-160
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 9-1 in Angels last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games following a loss.
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Javiers last 4 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.37 |
-180
|
o11.5 -105
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
5.99 |
+170
|
u12.0 -125
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 road starts.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.15 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Baltimore
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 overall.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Messicks last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
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Predicted Score |
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Total |
Run Line |
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LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
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-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in Sasakis last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
NYY
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Coby Mayo has been pinch hit for 46% of the time.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.8 mph to 89 mph.. Based on Statcast metrics, Coby Mayo grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.. By putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year, Coby Mayo has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carlos Rodon will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday today.. Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Jackson Holliday has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.. Jackson Holliday's launch angle in recent games (7.9° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.1° seasonal figure.. Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Jackson Holliday has posted a .362 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
SF
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Willy Adames u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willy Adames in today's matchup.. Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.. Willy Adames's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In the past week's worth of games, Willy Adames's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.
Total Bases
Travis Bazzana u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Travis Bazzana has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Carson Whisenhunt will have the handedness advantage against Travis Bazzana today.. Travis Bazzana hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Travis Bazzana has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the last 7 days.
DET
@
PIT
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.. Brandon Lowe has big-time HR ability (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero doesn't generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Lowe.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TOR
@
TB
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Over the last week, Kazuma Okamoto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 103.5-mph lately.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.7°, Kazuma Okamoto has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.3° angle over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
STL
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 leans on Cincinnati’s struggling offense and both bullpens holding their own. The Reds have managed a 64 wRC+ over their last eight games, while St. Louis should face a strong Cincinnati relief corps once Abbott exits. With Leahy dealing, this matchup has a lower-scoring path tonight.
Moneyline
STL (-116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
St. Louis has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Leahy, who owns a 2.55 FIP over his last five starts with excellent control and limited homer damage. Cincinnati enters ice cold with a 64 wRC+ over its last eight games, while Andrew Abbott’s command issues give the Cardinals an offensive path.
MIA
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+197)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Fading the Philadelphia Phillies with Zack Wheeler on the mound isn't an easy sell, but think about how difficult Wheeler is for even a good offense. Nothing is going to come easy; you're going to have to scrap and claw for runs. Whether it's by working counts, driving up his pitch count to get to the bullpen faster, manufacturing runs on the basepaths, or utilizing contact plays and hit-and-runs, you're not asking the Marlins to do anything they aren't already doing. This is how they score runs on a normal night. For a team with a bunch of big-time hitters with long swings, scoring runs against Wheeler can become a huge challenge. But the way to beat Wheeler is by manufacturing runs, which is exactly what the Marlins do on any given night. The Marlins are trading as a 34-cent underdog, and I price them closer to a 37-cent underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.
AZ
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.
Total Hits
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.. Nick Sogard's launch angle of late (6.7° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 11.5° seasonal angle.
SD
@
NYM
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 82°.. Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 82°.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jackson Merrill has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks.
ATH
@
KC
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Carter Jensen u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Carter Jensen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.. Carter Jensen has put up a .215 batting average this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 20% of the time that Kyle Isbel has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.
ATL
@
MIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. There has been a significant improvement in Byron Buxton's launch angle from last season's 17.5° to 21.1° this season.. Byron Buxton has put up a .360 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Ranking in the 99th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has posted a .390 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.. With a 1.14 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Jeffers has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 97th percentile.
SEA
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best stadium in the league for right-handed base hits.. American Family Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best stadium in the league for right-handed base hits.. American Family Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
WAS
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last week.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Dylan Crews has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.. Compared to last year, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 21.9% this season.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Dylan Crews's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.9%.
CHW
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
LAA
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. In today's game, Nolan Schanuel is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (77th percentile).. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Schanuel today.
Total Bases
MB
Moises Ballesteros u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 39% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Moises Ballesteros in today's matchup.
LAD
@
COL
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+118)
Projection 0.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Beck will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
