MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 23 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences among all stadiums.. Daulton Varsho's speed has fallen off this year. His 28.38 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.17 ft/sec now.
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cole Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Josh Naylor has been lifting the ball well of late, putting up a 23.3° launch angle in the past 7 days.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Griffin Conine's batting average ability is projected to be in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Griffin Conine is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. This game is expected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, LoanDepot Park's RF dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. This game is expected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In the past two weeks, Jakob Marsee has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.. Posting a lowly an 84.8-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Jakob Marsee has been in a slump of late.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Vierling logo
Matt Vierling u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.. Matt Vierling has hit 21.4% of his balls in the air 100 mph or faster this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.. Placing in the 11th percentile, Matt Vierling has notched a .200 batting average this year.
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Kerry Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o0.5 Total RBIs (+308)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. Carter Jensen has been hot of late, putting up a 94.5-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Carter Jensen has performed at a clip of 41.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Using Statcast data, Carter Jensen grades out in the 100th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .343.
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. In the last week, Lane Thomas has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 23 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Curtis Mead will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Shaw logo
Matt Shaw o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt Shaw's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Shaw has displayed impressive power, recording a a 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).. Matt Shaw is very athletic, grading out in the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.97 ft/sec this year.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.. Seiya Suzuki has been hot recently, putting up a a 13% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. JJ Bleday is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+360)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Braden Montgomery will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+213)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Byron Buxton will have an advantage today.. Byron Buxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a 92.2-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games, Kody Clemens has been in great form of late.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 23 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 23 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-127)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ezequiel Tovar has performed in the 77th percentile.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jun 23 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Logan O'Hoppe has been hot recently, compiling a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last week.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Jun 23 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that JR Ritchie throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as the league's 16th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.. Nick Kurtz has been hot of late, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last two weeks.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jun 24 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hot at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game, and New York has statistical correction coming offensively. The Mets rank 23rd in BABIP with their .311 wOBA below their 12th-ranked .321 xwOBA to go along with a sixth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cubs are heating up at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game. Chicago lefty Shota Imanaga has also flipped the script with just a single run allowed and opposing hitters limited to a miniscule 19.3% squared-up contact rate and 3.5% blast contact rate across 10 2/3 innings over his past two starts. The Cubbies should also have their way with struggling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga. His 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile, and he has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings, after all.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.