MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIN @

CLE Mon, Jul 20 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.73

Best Odds

o1.5 +137

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +135

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tanner Bibee.. This year, the hardest ball Josh Bell has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.6 mph (an advanced standard to measure power), placing in the 78th percentile.

+137 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.. This year, Kody Clemens's 12.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.. Kody Clemens's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in MLB this year: 94th percentile.

+115 at DraftKings

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PIT @

NYY Mon, Jul 20 • 7:05 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

PIT (+110)

Best Odds

+100

Pick made: 12 hours ago

-101

-104

+100

The Yankees aren't scoring runs with enough consistency for me to be confident in them, even at home, against the Pirates. Braxton Ashcraft has emerged as a solid No. 2 behind Paul Skenes and gives Pittsburgh the SP edge over Ryan Weathers.

Total Bases

Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+142)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +142

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +133

o1.5 +135

When assessing his BABIP skill, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. This year, the hardest ball Bryan Reynolds has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), grading out in the 87th percentile.. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Bryan Reynolds sports a .345 BABIP this year.

+142 at DraftKings

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TB @

TOR Mon, Jul 20 • 7:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

u7.5 (-104)

Best Odds

u7.5 -110

Pick made: 12 hours ago

u7.5 -115

u7.5 -122

u7.5 -110

u7.5 -115

u7.0 +110

Dylan Cease has been the most competent Blue Jays hurler this season, and Toronto's offense has been beyond putrid. I can't favor the Jays on the moneyline at the current number, especially with Nick Martinez starting for the Rays. Martinez may very well be fool's gold, but he hasn't turned into a pumpkin yet, and this is not the offense to expose him.

Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+113)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +113

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

+113 at DraftKings

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LAD @

PHI Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+127)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +127

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +120

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.

+127 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.71

Best Odds

o1.5 +137

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an advantage today.. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Mookie Betts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

+137 at DraftKings

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BAL @

BOS Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+109)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +109

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

+109 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Tolle in today's game.

+135 at BetMGM

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SD @

ATL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.

+140 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +141

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.

+141 at DraftKings

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NYM @

MIL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

MIL -1.5 (+112)

Best Odds

-1.5 +100

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-1.5 -103

-1.5 -110

-1.5 +100

-1.5 -102

-1.5 -110

-1.5 -105

Unless Freddy Peralta suddenly taps into how he pitched for Milwaukee, he's going to get lit up by Milwaukee. With Jacob Misiorowski starting for the Brewers, this is a great spot to target the run line over the moneyline.

Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 2

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +166

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +165

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP.

+185 at bet365

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SF @

KC Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +137

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game.

+137 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-125)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 -125

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -134

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

-125 at BetMGM

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DET @

CHC Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (-116)

Projection 2.67

Best Odds

o1.5 -116

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -116

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

-116 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.28

Best Odds

o1.5 -101

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -101

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.

-101 at DraftKings

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CHW @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In notching a .283 batting average this year, Wyatt Langford grades out in the 88th percentile.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Home Runs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)

Projection 0.23

Best Odds

o0.5 +850

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +820

o0.5 +625

o0.5 +800

o0.5 +700

o0.5 +750

o0.5 +850

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the game's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. This year, Colson Montgomery's 13.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

+850 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

HOU Mon, Jul 20 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Liam Hicks o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)

Projection 0.14

Best Odds

o0.5 +750

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +593

o0.5 +750

o0.5 +600

o0.5 +575

o0.5 +650

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today.

+750 at bet365

Total Bases

Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-181)

Projection 0.81

Best Odds

u1.5 -181

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -181

u1.5 -200

u1.5 -182

u1.5 -190

Isaac Paredes's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Isaac Paredes encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Isaac Paredes has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), ranking in the 4th percentile.

-181 at DraftKings

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WAS @

COL Mon, Jul 20 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-150)

Projection 2.88

Best Odds

o1.5 -138

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -138

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -170

o1.5 -143

o1.5 -150

As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today.

-138 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (-109)

Projection 2.12

Best Odds

o1.5 -109

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -109

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -115

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

-109 at DraftKings

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ATH @

AZ Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-140)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 -131

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -131

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -139

o1.5 -140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs.. Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Ketel Marte's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 116.9 mph this year, placing in the 99th percentile.

-131 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)

Projection 0.79

Best Odds

o0.5 +139

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +139

o0.5 +132

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as the game's 18th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Bratt in today's game.. Shea Langeliers's 15% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 92nd percentile this year.. Shea Langeliers's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 114.4 mph this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

+139 at DraftKings

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CIN @

SEA Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +183

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +183

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 9th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

+183 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +110

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against George Kirby in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team today.

+120 at bet365

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STL @

LAA Mon, Jul 20 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+114)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +114

Pick made: 30 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Mike Trout's 19.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile this year.. Mike Trout's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

+114 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)

Projection 0.46

Best Odds

o0.5 +248

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +248

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +210

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

+248 at DraftKings

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AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 28 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 28 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

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Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: one month ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

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Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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