MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Mon, May 25 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB base hits.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+235)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Esmerlyn Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Mon, May 25 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Rays are an enigma. No one projected them to even be in the race, and here they are leading the AL East in late May. They've been demonstrably better than the Orioles, who do not have a starter announced. At this number, with Shane McClanahan on the bump for Tampa, there was never an alternative option.

Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (-120)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Weston Wilson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Mon, May 25 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Mon, May 25 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami's batting average talent is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Byron Buxton will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, May 25 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The #10 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ New York Mets logo NYM Mon, May 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Marcus Semien's BABIP skill is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field projects as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Checking in at the 11th percentile, Marcus Semien has posted a .251 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Total Hits
Tyrone Taylor logo
Tyrone Taylor u0.5 Total Hits (+131)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field projects as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Tyrone Taylor has put up a .261 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Mon, May 25 • 5:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u0.5 Total Hits (+177)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the coldest weather of all games today at 59°.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, May 25 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-174)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Guardians right-hander Tanner Bibee is the weirdest pitcher in MLB this season. Somehow, he is 0-6 despite a 3.75 ERA and a generally solid FIP. He's not an overpowering hurler, and the Nationals have a dangerous offense, but he's not going to 0-7. I just don't see Zack Littell keeping Cleveland off the board. The only area where Littell thrives is in his 71st-percentile walk rate, which can be construed as a negative. He lives in the zone, and he gets killed in there. 

Total Hits
Angel Martinez logo
Angel Martinez u0.5 Total Hits (+169)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Angel Martinez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate.. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Zack Littell. Angel Martinez has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 5.5 K/BB rate.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, May 25 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Jesus Luzardo's 4.85 ERA is certainly quite poor, but everything under the hood looks solid. He ranks in the 82nd percentile or better in fastball velocity, exit velocity, chase rate, whiff rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, and hard-hit percentage. He's a buy-low candidate in fantasy baseball and a chief reason why I like the Phillies over the Padres here.

Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, May 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field profiles as the #30 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the best among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker today.. Extreme flyball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Mon, May 25 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for RHB home runs.. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Mon, May 25 • 9:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in the game for LHB home runs.. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 park in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, May 25 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Mariners are deploying starter Luis Castillo as an opener in front of Bryce Miller in the latest gambit to get the veteran right. So far, nothing's worked, as he's 1-5 with a 6.41 ERA in 46 1/3 innings, and the numbers under the hood aren't much better. The A's, notably Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers, will feast on Castillo early at Sutter Health Park in what could be a laugher.

 

Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 14 times in two meetings vs. the Reds, and they'll do plenty more damage against Brady Singer, who has an 8.47 ERA this month.

Jordan Walker already has three runs, four hits, and seven RBI in the series. His hot streak continues today.

Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three dingers in two straight starts, and 2+ homers in four of his last five. Jordan Walker has gone yard in two straight games and has feasted on right-handed pitching, batting .311 with 11 of his 15 home runs vs. righties.

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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

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