St. Louis vs Cincinnati   Picks & Props

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Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Will Benson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 52% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 33.3% on the season to 27.3% in the past two weeks.. Will Benson has put up a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Tyler Stephenson's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Matt McLain will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.. By putting up a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt McLain finds himself in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.. Matt McLain has compiled a .216 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Grading out in the 21st percentile, Matt McLain sports a .256 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jose Fermin is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Fermin in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Fermin today.. Jose Fermin's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Posting a .259 BABIP this year, JJ Wetherholt is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kyle Leahy in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Sporting a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera is ranked in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Sal Stewart will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Jordan Walker has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.2% rate last year to 16.4% this year.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Sporting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Fermin is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Sal Stewart will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Sal Stewart has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 17.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 10% in the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's game.

Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Will Benson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 52% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Will Benson has put up a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Tyler Stephenson's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Spencer Steer finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive ability to be a .330, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .046 difference between that figure and his actual .376 wOBA.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jose Fermin ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Fermin is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Fermin in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Fermin today.. Jose Fermin's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Chase Petty throws from, Jordan Walker has a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Walker today.. Despite posting a .395 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been lucky given the .061 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.. Based on Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 8th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .273.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Matt McLain will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.. By putting up a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt McLain finds himself in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.. Utilizing Statcast data, Matt McLain ranks in the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.400.. Placing in the 25th percentile, Matt McLain has notched a .333 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kyle Leahy in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Sporting a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera is ranked in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills.

Matt McLain is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 22.1% this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Jordan Walker has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Walker.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Pedro Pages has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Sal Stewart will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tyler Stephenson has big-time HR ability (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.. Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Will Benson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's game.. Will Benson has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Benson.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Victor Scott II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Petty in today's matchup.. Victor Scott II has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last two weeks, Victor Scott II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph in recent games.. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 47.4% on the season to 72.7% in the past 7 days.