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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 23, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+125 
|
o7.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.61 |
-130 
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 8-1 in Rodons last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodons last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 |
+200
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -120 
|
|
5.20 |
-205 
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +106 
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Leahys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
o0.5+258
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-104
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.14 |
+101 
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 road starts.
- Under is 8-1 in Martinezs last 9 starts on grass.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+147
|
o8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.29 |
-154
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+169)
u0.5+169
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+165
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.90 |
-175
|
u9.5 -136
|
-1.5 +120
|
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-108
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.12 |
+101
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in McLeans last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+100
|
o8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.76 |
-102
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -175
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+143
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.13 |
-150
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +145
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.60 |
-156
|
o11.0 -108
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.30 |
+153
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -105
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+201
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.22 |
-210
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
o0.5+249
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.60 |
+260
|
o8.5 +105
|
+2.0 -121
|
|
5.33 |
-270
|
u8.5 -112
|
-2.0 +100
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+259)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
-104
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.98 |
-102
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+130
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.00 |
-134
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 7-0 in Buehlers last 7 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+120
|
o8.5 -109
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.73 |
-120
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +170
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on grass.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+118
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.15 |
-125
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League East.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 11-4 in Giants last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
TOR
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over José Soriano today.. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
STL
@
PHI
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
TB
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay enters with a red-hot offense, posting a 113 wRC+ over the last 14 days, pairing high contact with disciplined plate approaches. Baltimore's bullpen has been prone to high-damage contact despite strikeout flashes. Back the Rays' superior operational baseline at a coin-flip price.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Coby Mayo has big-time HR ability (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Nick Martinez doesn't generate many whiffs (15th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
WAS
@
MIA
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+169)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Griffin Conine is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Jackson Kent throws from, Griffin Conine will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Janson Junk in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nasim Nunez today.
ATH
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristian Javier o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
Projection 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Zack Gelof, Henry Bolte).. Ryan Wills profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cristian Javier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.. Sacramento's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Yordan Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
NYM
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
NYM (-121)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
New York offers a major pitching edge with a dominant bullpen posting a 2.90 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 25.6% strike rate over the last 14 days. With Chicago starting an undecided arm against Nolan McLean, backing the Mets at a short, playable price avoids laying massive juice later.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Bo Bichette encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
DET
@
KC
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kevin McGonigle may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Bats such as Kevin McGonigle with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Daniel Lynch who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111)
Projection 2.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kevin McGonigle may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Bats such as Kevin McGonigle with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Daniel Lynch who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
LAA
@
TEX
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in MLB.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Corey Seager will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Yusei Kikuchi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
SF
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 23 • 3:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Victor Bericoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Victor Bericoto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 82%.. Victor Bericoto will have the handedness advantage against Jake Bennett in today's game.. Victor Bericoto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 82%.. Rafael Devers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.
PIT
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
CHC
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
The Cubs are mashing the ball, posting a 116 wRC+ and .218 ISO over the last 14 days. Seattle's bullpen has melted down recently, posting a 7.59 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Shota Imanaga gives Chicago the stability needed to keep the Mariners' lineup in check and exploit Seattle's pitching struggles at plus-money.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (-115)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Weston Wilson is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.
MIN
@
SD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+179)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.
CIN
@
AZ
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Bratt throws from, Sal Stewart will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Bratt in today's game.
ATL
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 23 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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