Houston @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Typically, hitters like Yainer Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tanner Houck. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Jeremy Pena are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Jarren Duran's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.1-mph in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.5°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.9°) in the past 14 days.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last week, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%. Jose Altuve has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph dropping to 82.7-mph over the last week.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Alex Bregman will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Grading out in the 24th percentile, Alex Bregman has posted a .270 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Zachary Dezenzo's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Nick Sogard will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Chas McCormick's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 28.09 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.76 ft/sec now.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Yordan Alvarez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph dropping to 89.8-mph over the past two weeks. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (12.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.8° mark last year.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jake Meyers's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in MLB for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 20.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Jon Singleton will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Pedro Leon has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 7 games.