The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets play the first of a four-game set at Citi Field on Tuesday, June 23.
My top Cubs vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks call for New York righty Kodai Senga to struggle in the series opener.
Who will win Cubs vs Mets today: Cubs moneyline (+101)
The Chicago Cubs have kicked their funk at the plate to pace the majors in wOBA while ranking fifth in ISO and fourth in xwOBA across their past nine games.
They’ll also face the reeling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga, and his 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile and has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings.
Additionally, despite consecutive tough outings from Cubs righty Edward Cabrera (6.52 ERA), he’s held opposing hitters to an 11.5% blast contact rate with a respectable 3.77 xFIP. Cabrera also posted a 3.84 xFIP across his first seven starts of the season, so I’m anticipating a rebound start tonight.
I peg the breakeven point for the Cubs' moneyline down to -110.
COVERS INTEL: Kodai Senga sports a 6.81 xERA while allowing a healthy 14.3% barrel percentage without a positive pitch value across his six offerings over his past four starts.
Cubs vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-103)
With the Cubbies set up for success at the dish, I expect them to do the heavy lifting to send this total Over the number.
I anticipate the Mets to chip in, too. New York ranks 21st in BABIP despite a 10th-ranked xwOBA to go along with a fifth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days, after all.
Plus, the Mets have played to the Over in 13 of their past 20 home games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI), and I’m confident in this Over down to -120.
- ML/RL bets: 28-15, +14.56 units
- Over/Under bets: 15-13, +0.97 units
Cubs vs Mets weather
The forecast calls for another wet, high-risk evening at Citi Field, with showers and thunderstorms bringing a 70% chance of precipitation and a potential rain delay.
Cubs vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Cubs -108 | Mets +104
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-104) | Under 8.5 (-120)
Cubs vs Mets trend
The New York Mets have hit the Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Mets.
How to watch Cubs vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, Queens |
| Date | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Edward Cabrera (4-4, 5.21 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) |
Cubs vs Mets latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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