Milwaukee @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Whit Merrifield's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, putting up a .397 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .049 gap.

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang today. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (2.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.2° figure last year.

Frankie Montas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 8.6% in the last two weeks. Austin Riley's launch angle in recent games (-0.2° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.4° seasonal figure.

The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Laureano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Ramon Laureano has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.8 mph compared to last year's 91.6 mph mark.

The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Orlando Arcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Jackson Chourio meets a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio today. In the last week's worth of games, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 73.6 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.4°, Jackson Chourio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3°) in the past 14 days. Jackson Chourio's 6.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in MLB: 8th percentile.

The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Travis d'Arnaud will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Travis d'Arnaud's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 40%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle in recent games (35.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 22.1° seasonal angle.

The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adam Duvall's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 23.1% over the last two weeks.

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas today.